External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>NTPC reported a decent set of numbers. Consolidated Net sales increased by 13%/2% YoY/QoQ beating the consensus by 5%.</li><li>EBITDA stood at Rs 14,017 Cr, up 9% YoY and slightly down by 1% QoQ (due to slightly higher fuel cost QoQ).</li><li>It stood ahead of the consensus by 2%. PAT grew by 12% YoY but declined by 15% QoQ to Rs 5,500 Cr (4% ahead of consensus). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NTPC reported a decent set of numbers. Consolidated Net sales increased by 13%/2% YoY/QoQ beating the consensus by 5%.EBITDA stood at Rs 14,017 Cr, up 9% YoY and slightly down by 1% QoQ (due to slightly higher fuel cost QoQ).It stood ahead of the consensus by 2%. PAT grew by 12% YoY but declined by 15% QoQ to Rs 5,500 Cr (4% ahead of consensus). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NTPC -Focus on Thermal/RE Expansion; Foray into Nuclear Power

<ul><li>15.2 GW of thermal capacity to be added to the pipeline: NTPC expects to add 15.2 GW of thermal capacity which will be tendered in the next 2-3 years (8 GW tied up to PPA), in addition to the existing 9.6 GW of under-construction thermal capacity.</li><li>In Q3FY24, the thermal capacity addition pipeline was at 16.8 GW.</li><li>RE targets: NTPC has an ambitious target of 60 GW of renewable capacity (RE) by FY32.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

15.2 GW of thermal capacity to be added to the pipeline: NTPC expects to add 15.2 GW of thermal capacity which will be tendered in the next 2-3 years (8 GW tied up to PPA), in addition to the existing 9.6 GW of under-construction thermal capacity.In Q3FY24, the thermal capacity addition pipeline was at 16.8 GW.RE targets: NTPC has an ambitious target of 60 GW of renewable capacity (RE) by FY32.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ntpc -Robust Q4: Focus Continues on Thermal/RE Expansion

<ul><li>NTPC’s net sales stood down 4%/5% YoY/QoQ and missed the Bloomberg consensus by 4%. EBITDA stood down by 22%/10% YoY/QoQ and missed the consensus by 11%.</li><li>However, PAT stood up 7%/10% YoY/QoQ, beating the consensus by 7% led by higher regulatory deferral account balances.</li><li>Regulated equity as of 31st Dec 2023 stood at Rs 82,094 Cr on a standalone basis and Rs 98,712 Cr on a consolidated basis. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NTPC’s net sales stood down 4%/5% YoY/QoQ and missed the Bloomberg consensus by 4%. EBITDA stood down by 22%/10% YoY/QoQ and missed the consensus by 11%.However, PAT stood up 7%/10% YoY/QoQ, beating the consensus by 7% led by higher regulatory deferral account balances.Regulated equity as of 31st Dec 2023 stood at Rs 82,094 Cr on a standalone basis and Rs 98,712 Cr on a consolidated basis. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NTPC - Focus Continues on Thermal/RE Expansion; Maintain BUY

<ul><li>NTPC is the largest power producer forming 17% of India’s installed capacity and 25% of the total generation in FY23.</li><li>The broad-based economic recovery and infrastructure growth have driven an increase in peak demand, reaching new highs in FY24.</li><li>This surge in demand, particularly during non-solar hours, has resulted in a resurgence of peak deficits, once again bringing the sector into the spotlight</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NTPC is the largest power producer forming 17% of India’s installed capacity and 25% of the total generation in FY23.The broad-based economic recovery and infrastructure growth have driven an increase in peak demand, reaching new highs in FY24.This surge in demand, particularly during non-solar hours, has resulted in a resurgence of peak deficits, once again bringing the sector into the spotlightContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NTPC - Well-Placed to Benefit from RE-Transition

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There could be 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 58.2% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 20bn (US$240m).</li>
<li>Since July, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.</li>
</ul>


There could be 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 58.2% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 20bn (US$240m).
Since July, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 58% Turnover & Strong Momentum

India

NTPC Ltd. owns and operates power generation plants that supply power to state electricity boards throughout India.  The Company is a public sector undertaking of the Government of India and it also undertakes turnkey consulting projects to set up power plants.

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NTPC Ltd (NTPC IN)

NTPC -Focus on Thermal/RE Expansion; Foray into Nuclear Power

NTPC reported a decent set of numbers. Consolidated Net sales increased by 13%/2% YoY/QoQ beating the consensus by 5%. EBITDA stood at Rs 14,017...

Axis Direct

Ntpc -Robust Q4: Focus Continues on Thermal/RE Expansion

NTPC expects to add 15.2 GW of thermal capacity which will be tendered in the next 2-3 years (8 GW tied up to PPA), in addition to the existing 9.6...

Axis Direct

NTPC - Focus Continues on Thermal/RE Expansion; Maintain BUY

NTPC’s net sales stood down 4%/5% YoY/QoQ and missed the Bloomberg consensus by 4%. EBITDA stood down by 22%/10% YoY/QoQ and missed the consensus...

Axis Direct

NTPC - Well-Placed to Benefit from RE-Transition

The broad-based economic recovery and infrastructure growth have driven an increase in peak demand, reaching new highs in FY24.

Axis Direct

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 58% Turnover & Strong Momentum

There could be 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index resulting in 1-way turnover of 58.2% and in a 1-way trade of INR 20bn (US$240m). Adds...

Brian Freitas

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