Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tape will be weak to start, but may find dip buying given the bullish read from Micron which is helping send futs higher </li>
<li>Chinese ex-ASML engineers have reversed engineered a EUV lithography machine. Not awesome news for Lasertec and Jeol either. </li>
<li>China cooling on Japan has led to a big drop in tourist arrival growth rates. Expected - but still negative for duty free, hotels and rails etc. </li>
</ul>


Tape will be weak to start, but may find dip buying given the bullish read from Micron which is helping send futs higher 
Chinese ex-ASML engineers have reversed engineered a EUV lithography machine. Not awesome news for Lasertec and Jeol either. 
China cooling on Japan has led to a big drop in tourist arrival growth rates. Expected - but still negative for duty free, hotels and rails etc. 


Tech Hit on Financing Worries, but Micron Guidance Smashes Estimates

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Murata Manufacturing / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings</a> appears to be gearing up for a launch soon.</li>
<li>On the placements front, while Wuxi XDC failed to perform, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/murata-manufacturing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11649:1" rel="noopener">Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP)</a> has been holding up so far.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, Guming Holdings appears to be gearing up for a launch soon.
On the placements front, while Wuxi XDC failed to perform, Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP) has been holding up so far.


ECM Weekly (20th Jan 2025) - Guming, LG India, Schloss (Leela), Freetech, Chongqing Terminus, Murata

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today after the close, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/murata-manufacturing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11649:1" rel="noopener">Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP)</a> announced an equity offering worth roughly US$870mm if the stock prices 10% below last. </li>
<li>Unlike "regular" secondary offerings, this is available only to overseas investors, and bookbuilding is very quick. This "increases the size" relative to its headline (no retail uptake).</li>
<li>At 11 days of ADV and 3.3% of shares out, it has a certain size, but the stock is well-owned by foreigners, and not terribly volatile vs Peers.</li>
</ul>


Today after the close, Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP) announced an equity offering worth roughly US$870mm if the stock prices 10% below last. 
Unlike "regular" secondary offerings, this is available only to overseas investors, and bookbuilding is very quick. This "increases the size" relative to its headline (no retail uptake).
At 11 days of ADV and 3.3% of shares out, it has a certain size, but the stock is well-owned by foreigners, and not terribly volatile vs Peers.


Murata Mfg (6981) Accelerated Overseas Offer - Minimal Index But Low Vol Vs Peers

<ul>
<li>A group of shareholders aim to raise around US$900m via selling around 3% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/murata-manufacturing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11649:1" rel="noopener">Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP)</a>, in another cross-shareholding selldown.</li>
<li>The company’s shares haven’t done much over the past few years and recent share price performance as well hasn’t been the best</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


A group of shareholders aim to raise around US$900m via selling around 3% of Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP), in another cross-shareholding selldown.
The company’s shares haven’t done much over the past few years and recent share price performance as well hasn’t been the best
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Murata Manufacturing Placement - Recent Momentum Isn’t Particularly Strong

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>A group of 7 shareholders are looking to sell 61.3m shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/murata-manufacturing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11649:1" rel="noopener">Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP)</a> to raise JPY 143.8bn (US$916m). That is 3.3% of shares outstanding.</li>
<li>The shares are being offered at a price range of JPY 2296-2345.5/share, a discount of 5-7% to the last close of the stock.</li>
<li>With the offering less than 5% of shares outstanding and less than US$1bn in size, there is no immediate passive buying and there could be further weakness in the stock.</li>
</ul>


A group of 7 shareholders are looking to sell 61.3m shares in Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP) to raise JPY 143.8bn (US$916m). That is 3.3% of shares outstanding.
The shares are being offered at a price range of JPY 2296-2345.5/share, a discount of 5-7% to the last close of the stock.
With the offering less than 5% of shares outstanding and less than US$1bn in size, there is no immediate passive buying and there could be further weakness in the stock.


Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP) - No Immediate Passive Buying Could Lead to More Weakness

Japan

MURATA MANUFACTURING COMPANY, LTD. manufactures and sells ceramic applied electronic components.  The Company's products include filters, capacitors, thermistors, resistors, noise suppression components, coils, piezoelectric sound components, power supplies, sensors, hybrid integrated circuit (IC), and microwave components.

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Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP)

Tech Hit on Financing Worries, but Micron Guidance Smashes Estimates

Tape weak at first but may see dip buying; Chinese engineers reverse engineer lithography machine; China cooling on Japan affects tourist arrival...

Andrew Jackson

ECM Weekly (20th Jan 2025) - Guming, LG India, Schloss (Leela), Freetech, Chongqing Terminus, Murata

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Murata Mfg (6981) Accelerated Overseas Offer - Minimal Index But Low Vol Vs Peers

Murata Mfg announced a secondary ABO. It should price tonight and trade tomorrow. I expect a wide-ish discount of 5+% at US$900mm or so. There is...

Travis Lundy

Murata Manufacturing Placement - Recent Momentum Isn’t Particularly Strong

A group of shareholders aim to raise around US$900m via selling around 3% of Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP), in another cross-shareholding selldown.

Sumeet Singh