AI and Global Deep Tech, Mint Finance

Uttkarsh Kohli

AI and Global Deep Tech

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q3 revenue is expected to reach $22.4-23.2 billion, reflecting strong demand for TSMC's 3nm and AI-driven technologies. This marks a significant 14.4% increase from Q2's $20.82 billion, despite global headwinds.</li>
<li>Operating profit margins are forecasted to be between 42.5% and 44.5%, highlighting TSMC’s efforts to maintain profitability. However, pressures from rising operational costs and competitive advancements remain a challenge.</li>
<li>EPS is projected at $1.76, up 40% YoY, driven by robust AI chip demand. Despite this, TSMC faces slowing consumer electronics demand, particularly in smartphones, which could affect future growth.</li>
</ul>


Q3 revenue is expected to reach $22.4-23.2 billion, reflecting strong demand for TSMC's 3nm and AI-driven technologies. This marks a significant 14.4% increase from Q2's $20.82 billion, despite global headwinds.
Operating profit margins are forecasted to be between 42.5% and 44.5%, highlighting TSMC’s efforts to maintain profitability. However, pressures from rising operational costs and competitive advancements remain a challenge.
EPS is projected at $1.76, up 40% YoY, driven by robust AI chip demand. Despite this, TSMC faces slowing consumer electronics demand, particularly in smartphones, which could affect future growth.


TSMC's Q3 Earnings Preview: Investors to Eye AI Demand Boost, Margins in Focus

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +18.6% Premium; Spread Has Returned to Previous Elevated Trading Range</li>
<li>UMC: +1.5% Premium; Wait for Higher Level Before Shorting the Spread</li>
<li>ASE: +4.2% Premium; Can Consider Going Long the Spread at Current Level</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +18.6% Premium; Spread Has Returned to Previous Elevated Trading Range
UMC: +1.5% Premium; Wait for Higher Level Before Shorting the Spread
ASE: +4.2% Premium; Can Consider Going Long the Spread at Current Level


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Back to Elevated Range; ASE Short Interest Spikes Higher

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +14.2% Premium; Can Consider Going Long at Current Level</li>
<li>UMC: +1.8% Premium; The ADR Headroom Has Decreased Yet Again</li>
<li>ASE: +5.4% Premium; Short Interest Surging for The Local Shares</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +14.2% Premium; Can Consider Going Long at Current Level
UMC: +1.8% Premium; The ADR Headroom Has Decreased Yet Again
ASE: +5.4% Premium; Short Interest Surging for The Local Shares


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Back Below 15%; ASE Short Interest Surging

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +15.9% Premium; Sales Rose 33% YoY in August &amp; Headroom Increased</li>
<li>UMC: +1.8% Premium; Largest Monthly Decrease in ADR Headroom, Has Consistently Been Decreasing Since May</li>
<li>ASE: +2.0% Premium; At Current Level Can Consider Going Long the Premium</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +15.9% Premium; Sales Rose 33% YoY in August &amp; Headroom Increased
UMC: +1.8% Premium; Largest Monthly Decrease in ADR Headroom, Has Consistently Been Decreasing Since May
ASE: +2.0% Premium; At Current Level Can Consider Going Long the Premium


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC 33% Growth, UMC Headroom Decrease, ASE Historically Low Premium

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>TSMC and government cyber security measures are discussed at Security Summit, highlighting the importance of protecting sensitive data.</li><li>Experts advise diligence and patience for Taiwan's B5G satellite program as it encounters obstacles, emphasizing the need for strategic planning.</li><li>Japan's diamond semiconductor technology expected to be applied practically by 2025-2030, showing promising advancements in semiconductor industry.</li></ul>

TSMC and government cyber security measures are discussed at Security Summit, highlighting the importance of protecting sensitive data.Experts advise diligence and patience for Taiwan's B5G satellite program as it encounters obstacles, emphasizing the need for strategic planning.Japan's diamond semiconductor technology expected to be applied practically by 2025-2030, showing promising advancements in semiconductor industry.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Sep-2024): Security Summit covers TSMC, gov cyber sec

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

TSMC's Q3 Earnings Preview: Investors to Eye AI Demand Boost, Margins in Focus

TSMC is expected to report strong Q3 revenue growth driven by AI and advanced nodes, while facing pressure from weakening margins and slowing...

Mint Finance

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Back to Elevated Range; ASE Short Interest Spikes Higher

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Back Below 15%; ASE Short Interest Surging

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC 33% Growth, UMC Headroom Decrease, ASE Historically Low Premium

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Sep-2024): Security Summit covers TSMC, gov cyber sec

Security Summit covers TSMC and government cyber security, Taiwan's B5G program faces challenges, Japan's diamond semiconductors coming by 2025, UK...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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