Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC's comments during its 4Q22 analyst call indicate the company expects an industry recovery in 2H23E, adding further confirmation to this view expressed by other firms.</li>
<li>TSMC grew faster than the industry in 2022 and expects to grow faster than the industry in 2023E again.</li>
<li>Based on our cycle-adjusted PE valuation metric, TSMC my not be super cheap vs. history, but it is also inexpensive.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's comments during its 4Q22 analyst call indicate the company expects an industry recovery in 2H23E, adding further confirmation to this view expressed by other firms.
TSMC grew faster than the industry in 2022 and expects to grow faster than the industry in 2023E again.
Based on our cycle-adjusted PE valuation metric, TSMC my not be super cheap vs. history, but it is also inexpensive.


TSMC Analyst Call Take-Aways: Signs of Industry Stabilization & 2H23E Recovery

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS:  CPI slows, Fed Pause narrative strengthens; Yields fall; DXY weakens; Equity rally continues; TSMC Optimism add fuel Semis</li>
<li>JAPAN: NKY Futs -1.0% vs Cash;  USDJPY ¥129.24; BOJ to end YCC narrative gather steam - Banks rally; Foreigners Selling JGBs; Earnings: Seven &amp;I beats; Fasty misses;  We are bullish</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGETS: Our meme below says it all - we leave it to the experts to breakdown the data but the evidence indicates  INFLATION DEFEATED.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS:  CPI slows, Fed Pause narrative strengthens; Yields fall; DXY weakens; Equity rally continues; TSMC Optimism add fuel Semis
JAPAN: NKY Futs -1.0% vs Cash;  USDJPY ¥129.24; BOJ to end YCC narrative gather steam - Banks rally; Foreigners Selling JGBs; Earnings: Seven &amp;I beats; Fasty misses;  We are bullish
DAILY NUGGETS: Our meme below says it all - we leave it to the experts to breakdown the data but the evidence indicates  INFLATION DEFEATED.


Good Morning Japan |Benign CPI; Fed Pause in the Crosshairs - Equities Extend Rally

<ul>
<li>Taiwan's government has passed new major tax subsidies to support semiconductor firms' R&amp;D and capex spending.</li>
<li>TSMC results will be out this afternoon; Interestingly, TSMC's CEO has been buying shares during October, November, and December.</li>
<li>Hon Hai has begun iPhone 15 trial production, and Zhengzhou is back to 100%.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan's government has passed new major tax subsidies to support semiconductor firms' R&amp;D and capex spending.
TSMC results will be out this afternoon; Interestingly, TSMC's CEO has been buying shares during October, November, and December.
Hon Hai has begun iPhone 15 trial production, and Zhengzhou is back to 100%.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Global Optimism for Semi Stocks, Taiwan's New Subsidies, TSMC CEO Buying Stock

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

<ul>
<li>We again write about one stock each from the large, mid and small cap portfolios, briefly giving the reasons for their inclusion.</li>
<li>The three companies we write about this week are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abbvie-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1135:1" rel="noopener">Abbvie Inc (ABBV US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/becton-dickinson-and-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13061:1" rel="noopener">Becton Dickinson and Co (BDX US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ciena-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15442:1" rel="noopener">Ciena Corp (CIEN US)</a> </li>
<li>For the seven weeks since inception ended 6 Jan the combined innovation portfolio was +1.6%, versus DJIA -0.3%, S&amp;P500 -1.8%, Nasdaq -5.2% &amp; MSCI-ACWI-ETF +0.1%, all in US$ terms</li>
</ul>


We again write about one stock each from the large, mid and small cap portfolios, briefly giving the reasons for their inclusion.
The three companies we write about this week are Abbvie Inc (ABBV US), Becton Dickinson and Co (BDX US) and Ciena Corp (CIEN US) 
For the seven weeks since inception ended 6 Jan the combined innovation portfolio was +1.6%, versus DJIA -0.3%, S&amp;P500 -1.8%, Nasdaq -5.2% &amp; MSCI-ACWI-ETF +0.1%, all in US$ terms


<ul>
<li>TSMC's ADR premium is entering the higher end of its range since early 2022. Earnings coming this week.</li>
<li>UMC's ADR has flipped from a discount to a moderate premium. Earnings are ahead as well.</li>
<li>ASE Technology's ADR premium has reached 6.1%, high even for this usually higher-premium trading pair.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's ADR premium is entering the higher end of its range since early 2022. Earnings coming this week.
UMC's ADR has flipped from a discount to a moderate premium. Earnings are ahead as well.
ASE Technology's ADR premium has reached 6.1%, high even for this usually higher-premium trading pair.


Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium Hitting High Territory, ASE Shoots to 6.1%

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

TSMC Analyst Call Take-Aways: Signs of Industry Stabilization & 2H23E Recovery

TSMC grew faster than the industry in 2022 and expects to grow faster than the industry in 2023E again. The company also does not appear expensive...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Good Morning Japan |Benign CPI; Fed Pause in the Crosshairs - Equities Extend Rally

INFLATION DEFEATED ! Fed pause next. JAPAN: NKY Futs -1.0% vs Cash; USDJPY ¥129.24; BOJ to end YCC narrative gather steam - Banks rally;...

Mark Chadwick

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Global Optimism for Semi Stocks, Taiwan's New Subsidies, TSMC CEO Buying Stock

TSMC results will be released this afternoon. Notably, TSMC's CEO has been buying shares over the last three months. Hon Hai begins iPhone 15 trial...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

The Innovations Portfolios - Week Seven

For the seven weeks since inception ended 6 Jan the combined innovation portfolio was +1.6%, versus DJIA -0.3%, S&P500 -1.8%, Nasdaq -5.2% & MSCI...

Pyari Menon

Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium Hitting High Territory, ASE Shoots to 6.1%

TSMC's ADR premium is entering the higher end of its range since early 2022. TSMC earnings are coming this week as well. UMC's earnings will be...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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