Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Lattice is just too expensive for what it is. It’s one of the highest multiples in the space, but I acknowledge we are closer to the trough than the peak.</li><li>Tokyo Electron continues to be bullish high aspect etch and reports that they are winning in DRAM and hopefully in NAND in the future.</li><li>Arista says that AI revenue is yet to come, and 800G will mostly be in 2025, not 2024. The market got ahead of itself.</li></ul>

Lattice is just too expensive for what it is. It’s one of the highest multiples in the space, but I acknowledge we are closer to the trough than the peak.Tokyo Electron continues to be bullish high aspect etch and reports that they are winning in DRAM and hopefully in NAND in the future.Arista says that AI revenue is yet to come, and 800G will mostly be in 2025, not 2024. The market got ahead of itself.

Earnings (LSCC, ANET, GFS, Tokyo Electron, SITM, ENTG, AMAT)

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q124 revenues of $6.71 billion, at the high end of the guided range and essentially flat sequentially both QoQ and YoY</li>
<li>Q224 revenue $6.5 billion at the midpoint, a modest downward movement of 3% QoQ and in line with what we saw from peers KLAC and LRCX</li>
<li>Still a great company with excellent growth prospects, just not in 2024</li>
</ul>


Q124 revenues of $6.71 billion, at the high end of the guided range and essentially flat sequentially both QoQ and YoY
Q224 revenue $6.5 billion at the midpoint, a modest downward movement of 3% QoQ and in line with what we saw from peers KLAC and LRCX
Still a great company with excellent growth prospects, just not in 2024


AMAT. Post Earnings Surge For No Good Reason

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Research Foundation of the State University of New York (SUNY RF) has filed a patent infringement lawsuit against <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a> and its subsidiary, Inpria.</li>
<li>SUNY RF claims the “planned tender offer will irreparably harm SUNY RF absent preliminary relief” and filed a motion for a preliminary injunction to stop JSR licensing patents to JIC.</li>
<li>JSR has yet to file a response, making it hard to judge the lawsuit’s merits. The best case is the PI is not granted, delaying the tender by a month.  </li>
</ul>


The Research Foundation of the State University of New York (SUNY RF) has filed a patent infringement lawsuit against JSR Corp (4185 JP) and its subsidiary, Inpria.
SUNY RF claims the “planned tender offer will irreparably harm SUNY RF absent preliminary relief” and filed a motion for a preliminary injunction to stop JSR licensing patents to JIC.
JSR has yet to file a response, making it hard to judge the lawsuit’s merits. The best case is the PI is not granted, delaying the tender by a month.  


JSR Corporation (4185 JP): An Unwelcome US Lawsuit as Tender Start Looms

Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst, Pennock Idea Hub

Cam Hui

Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst

Pennock Idea Hub

We are creators of independent equity research. The Pennock Idea Hub team are veterans of the investment industry. Much of our team has spent their careers at Merrill Lynch, Deutsche Bank, RBC Capital Markets and Wood Gundy. We have taken every aspect of research back to the studs and returned to first principles. The Pennock Idea Hub marries the interests of the sell and buy side. 

We offer the best research for institutional investors by:

-Only publishing research from veteran analysts
-Eliminate the inherent conflicts of the traditional sell and buy side relationship
-Ensure our team is always accessible; collaboration with clients nurtures our collective success

Cross-Asset & Quantitative Research

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A bottom-up driven scan of stock charts shows over 29 stocks with bullish technical patterns consisting of uptrends or breakouts from multi-month bases with strong potential upsides.</li>
<li>Bullish patterns are broadly based, primarily concentrated in technology and cyclicals, which argue for a continuation of the AI-related bull and an economic rebound.</li>
<li>This bottom-up analysis also pointed to bullish macro conclusions about the economy.</li>
</ul>


A bottom-up driven scan of stock charts shows over 29 stocks with bullish technical patterns consisting of uptrends or breakouts from multi-month bases with strong potential upsides.
Bullish patterns are broadly based, primarily concentrated in technology and cyclicals, which argue for a continuation of the AI-related bull and an economic rebound.
This bottom-up analysis also pointed to bullish macro conclusions about the economy.


<ul>
<li>Global semi sales for October 2023 amounted to $46.6 billion, an increase of 3.9% MoM but still down 0.7% compared to the year-ago period</li>
<li>Global semiconductor equipment billings amounted to $25.6 billion in Q323, down 11% YoY and down 1% QoQ</li>
<li>China is on track to maintain the global #1 semi WFE spender slot for the fourth year in a row and by the widest margin ever. </li>
</ul>


Global semi sales for October 2023 amounted to $46.6 billion, an increase of 3.9% MoM but still down 0.7% compared to the year-ago period
Global semiconductor equipment billings amounted to $25.6 billion in Q323, down 11% YoY and down 1% QoQ
China is on track to maintain the global #1 semi WFE spender slot for the fourth year in a row and by the widest margin ever. 


Semiconductor Events Deserving Your Attention @6/12/23

United States

Lam Research Corporation manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the making of integrated circuits.  The Company's products are used to deposit special films on a silicon wafer and etch away portions of various films to create a circuit design.  Lam sells its products around the world.

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Lam Research (LRCX US)

Earnings (LSCC, ANET, GFS, Tokyo Electron, SITM, ENTG, AMAT)

Lattice is just too expensive for what it is. It’s one of the highest multiples in the space, but I acknowledge we are closer to the trough than...

Fabricated Knowledge

AMAT. Post Earnings Surge For No Good Reason

Q124 revenues of $6.71 billion, flat both QoQ and YoY. Q224 revenue $6.5 billion, in line with peers. No full year 2024 guidance. WFE has more...

William Keating

JSR Corporation (4185 JP): An Unwelcome US Lawsuit as Tender Start Looms

SUNY RF filed a patent lawsuit against JSR and a motion to prevent licensing patents to JIC. Court proceedings over the coming weeks will clarify...

Arun George

29 Reasons to Be Bullish

A bottom-up scan of stock charts shows over 29 stocks with bullish technical patterns consisting of uptrends or breakouts from multi-month bases...

Cam Hui

Semiconductor Events Deserving Your Attention @6/12/23

Global semi sales for October 23 of $46.6 billion, +3.9% MoM, -0.7% YoY. Q323 semi WFE billings $25.6 billion, -11% YoY, -1% QoQ. China set to...

William Keating

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