Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>The milder drop in crude oil prices was reflected in energy stocks on Monday, with most major oil and gas companies, outperforming the S&amp;P 500.</li>
<li>Most of the oil companies’ volume PCR was elevated on Monday and Friday, with Haliburton’s volume PCR exceptionally high at 3.66 on Monday (5/Aug).</li>
<li>On 5/Aug, all major energy companies saw a rise in implied volatility due to recession fears, except Shell, whose IV dropped slightly to 20.01% from 20.28% on Friday.</li>
</ul>


The milder drop in crude oil prices was reflected in energy stocks on Monday, with most major oil and gas companies, outperforming the S&amp;P 500.
Most of the oil companies’ volume PCR was elevated on Monday and Friday, with Haliburton’s volume PCR exceptionally high at 3.66 on Monday (5/Aug).
On 5/Aug, all major energy companies saw a rise in implied volatility due to recession fears, except Shell, whose IV dropped slightly to 20.01% from 20.28% on Friday.


Oil & Gas Giants Hit by Recession-Driven Sell-Off but Outperform the S&P 500

<ul>
<li>US crude inventories fell for the fifth consecutive week by 3.4 mb, exceeding the 1.6 mb decline expected by analysts. Gasoline stocks also decreased by 3.7 mb.</li>
<li>As of the week ending 26/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 15.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>European oil majors beat Q2 profit estimates. BP’s Q2 underlying net profit beat estimates by 7.7%. Shell’s Q2 EPS beat estimates by 5.1%. </li>
</ul>


US crude inventories fell for the fifth consecutive week by 3.4 mb, exceeding the 1.6 mb decline expected by analysts. Gasoline stocks also decreased by 3.7 mb.
As of the week ending 26/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 15.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.
European oil majors beat Q2 profit estimates. BP’s Q2 underlying net profit beat estimates by 7.7%. Shell’s Q2 EPS beat estimates by 5.1%. 


[ETP 31/2024] Oil Prices Surge on Middle East Tensions; BP and Shell Beat Earnings Expectations

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ExxonMobil anticipates a USD 1.1 billion to USD 1.5 billion dent on its Q2 earnings due to the industry-wide contraction in refining margins.</li>
<li>Exxon Mobil anticipates the USD 300 million to USD 700 million negative impact on earnings from lower gas prices to be offset by gains from higher oil prices.</li>
<li>Since acquiring Pioneer, Exxon more than doubled production to 1.3 mboepd from 2023. Full merger effects are expected in Q3.</li>
</ul>


ExxonMobil anticipates a USD 1.1 billion to USD 1.5 billion dent on its Q2 earnings due to the industry-wide contraction in refining margins.
Exxon Mobil anticipates the USD 300 million to USD 700 million negative impact on earnings from lower gas prices to be offset by gains from higher oil prices.
Since acquiring Pioneer, Exxon more than doubled production to 1.3 mboepd from 2023. Full merger effects are expected in Q3.


[Earnings Preview] Exxon Braces for Profit Hit as Refining Margins Tighten

<ul>
<li>US crude inventories fell for the fourth straight week, with a 3.7 mb drawdown. Gasoline stocks dropped by 5.6 mb, the largest decline since March.</li>
<li>As of 19/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 16.4% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>TotalEnergies’ Q2 revenue fell 5.2% YoY, missing estimates by 7.3%. EPS dropped 7.5% YoY and missed estimates by 7.2%.</li>
</ul>


US crude inventories fell for the fourth straight week, with a 3.7 mb drawdown. Gasoline stocks dropped by 5.6 mb, the largest decline since March.
As of 19/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 16.4% above the 5-year seasonal average.
TotalEnergies’ Q2 revenue fell 5.2% YoY, missing estimates by 7.3%. EPS dropped 7.5% YoY and missed estimates by 7.2%.


[ETP 30/2024] Oil Reels Under Macroeconomic Headwinds; Nat-Gas Sheds Gains to Oversupply Concerns

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the September 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two regular changes during September. More interestingly, a couple of SP500 members are working on spin-offs which could trigger some high-impact deletions over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the September 2024 index rebal event.
We expect two regular changes during September. More interestingly, a couple of SP500 members are working on spin-offs which could trigger some high-impact deletions over the next few months.


Sep24 S&P500 Index Rebal - Two Changes Expected; $6bn One-Way Flow and Two Spinoffs?

United States

Chevron Corporation is an integrated energy company with operations in countries located around the world.  The Company produces and transports crude oil and natural gas.  Chevron also refines, markets, and distributes fuels as well as is involved in chemical operations, mining operations, power generation and energy services.

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Chevron Corp (CVX US)

Oil & Gas Giants Hit by Recession-Driven Sell-Off but Outperform the S&P 500

Energy stocks outperformed the S&P 500 on Monday despite a drop in crude oil prices, with elevated volume PCR and rising IV for most oil & gas...

Mint Finance

[ETP 31/2024] Oil Prices Surge on Middle East Tensions; BP and Shell Beat Earnings Expectations

US crude inventories and gasoline stocks continue to decline, while US natural gas inventories are up YoY. European oil majors surpass Q2 profit...

Mint Finance

[Earnings Preview] Exxon Braces for Profit Hit as Refining Margins Tighten

Exxon expects rising oil prices to offset falling nat-gas prices. Shrinking refining margins to hurt profits by USD 1.1 – USD 1.5 billion. Strong...

Mint Finance

[ETP 30/2024] Oil Reels Under Macroeconomic Headwinds; Nat-Gas Sheds Gains to Oversupply Concerns

US crude inventories continue to decline, while gasoline stocks see largest drop since March. US natural gas inventories up YoY, TotalEnergies' Q2...

Mint Finance

Sep24 S&P500 Index Rebal - Two Changes Expected; $6bn One-Way Flow and Two Spinoffs?

The S&P500 index rebal is coming in about 7 weeks. There are about 5 weeks of data left to tally. We expect there are two changes, but there are...

Travis Lundy

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Oil & Gas Giants Hit by Recession-Driven Sell-Off but Outperform the S&P 500

​Energy stocks outperformed the S&P 500 on Monday despite a drop in crude oil prices, with elevated volume PCR and rising IV for most oil & gas...

Mint Finance

[ETP 31/2024] Oil Prices Surge on Middle East Tensions; BP and Shell Beat Earnings Expectations

​US crude inventories and gasoline stocks continue to decline, while US natural gas inventories are up YoY. European oil majors surpass Q2 profit...

Mint Finance

[Earnings Preview] Exxon Braces for Profit Hit as Refining Margins Tighten

Exxon expects rising oil prices to offset falling nat-gas prices. Shrinking refining margins to hurt profits by USD 1.1 – USD 1.5 billion. Strong...

Mint Finance

[ETP 30/2024] Oil Reels Under Macroeconomic Headwinds; Nat-Gas Sheds Gains to Oversupply Concerns

​US crude inventories continue to decline, while gasoline stocks see largest drop since March. US natural gas inventories up YoY, TotalEnergies' Q2...

Mint Finance

Sep24 S&P500 Index Rebal - Two Changes Expected; $6bn One-Way Flow and Two Spinoffs?

The S&P500 index rebal is coming in about 7 weeks. There are about 5 weeks of data left to tally. We expect there are two changes, but there are...

Travis Lundy

Energy stocks outperformed the S&P 500 on Monday despite a drop in crude oil prices, with elevated volume PCR and rising IV for most oil & gas...

US crude inventories and gasoline stocks continue to decline, while US natural gas inventories are up YoY. European oil majors surpass Q2 profit...

US crude inventories continue to decline, while gasoline stocks see largest drop since March. US natural gas inventories up YoY, TotalEnergies' Q2...