Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Four new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: tender offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanematsu-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15767:1" rel="noopener">Kanematsu Electronics (8096 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanematsu-sustech-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18499:1" rel="noopener">Kanematsu Sustech (7961 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissin-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18567:1" rel="noopener">Nissin Electric (6641 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techno-associe-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3893:1" rel="noopener">Techno Associe (8249 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pushpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13737:1" rel="noopener">Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/o2micro-international-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36418:1" rel="noopener">O2Micro International (OIIM US)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Four new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: tender offers for Kanematsu Electronics (8096 JP), Kanematsu Sustech (7961 JP), Nissin Electric (6641 JP), and Techno Associe (8249 JP).
Key updates took place for: Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP), Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ), Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), and O2Micro International (OIIM US).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Kanematsu Elect/Sustech, Toshiba, Pushpay, Sembcorp, O2Micro

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Last Friday, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> announced it had Approval-In-Principle for its Proposed Combination with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a>, contingent on the Circular being despatched by 31 January 2023.  </li>
<li>At 6:50pm local time on 31 January, Sembcorp Marine released its 679-page <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Circular.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=745337" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Circular</a> (and <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/EGM%20Announcement.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=745338" target="_blank" rel="noopener">EGM Announcement</a> (16 Feb EGM)). Phew! </li>
<li>Now we have a deal in sight, we have to think about next steps. SMM NEWCO needs a story vs flow. Orderbook is nice but may not cut it near-term.</li>
</ul>


Last Friday, Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) announced it had Approval-In-Principle for its Proposed Combination with Keppel Corp (KEP SP), contingent on the Circular being despatched by 31 January 2023.  
At 6:50pm local time on 31 January, Sembcorp Marine released its 679-page Circular (and EGM Announcement (16 Feb EGM)). Phew! 
Now we have a deal in sight, we have to think about next steps. SMM NEWCO needs a story vs flow. Orderbook is nice but may not cut it near-term.


Sembcorp Marine-Keppel O&M Merger Circular Squeaks In Under The Wire - Next Steps

<ul>
<li>Be long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kawasaki-kisen-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3548:1" rel="noopener">Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)</a> vs MOL and NYK. The shares are cheap on a forward basis. KLine is reducing the Real World Float, causing further potential squeeze.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sabana-industrial-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:911:1" rel="noopener">Sabana Industrial REIT (SSREIT SP)</a>'s Partial Offer at 0.88x book is not overwhelming, but it is also not a control stake. It is probably priced near-right.</li>
<li>IF <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/osstem-implant-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1450:1" rel="noopener">Osstem (048260 KS)</a>'s price were to go higher, it is conceivable there could be a bump, but don't bet on it as long as the stock trades &lt;KRW 190,000. </li>
</ul>


Be long Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP) vs MOL and NYK. The shares are cheap on a forward basis. KLine is reducing the Real World Float, causing further potential squeeze.

Sabana Industrial REIT (SSREIT SP)'s Partial Offer at 0.88x book is not overwhelming, but it is also not a control stake. It is probably priced near-right.
IF Osstem (048260 KS)'s price were to go higher, it is conceivable there could be a bump, but don't bet on it as long as the stock trades &lt;KRW 190,000. 


Last Week in SPACE: Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Osstem, Fujitsu General, Adani Enterprises

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>From the end of 2019 to 9 Jan 2023, the iEdge SG Adv Manufacturing Index generated a 21% total return.</li><li>Four of the 10 - Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Dyna-Mac, Halcyon Agri Corp and Sembcorp Marine were among the strongest seven strongest performers of the Index in 2022, with micro-caps Acesian Partners, Global Testing Corp, XMH Holdings the three strongest Index performers for the year.</li><li>Since 2019, the iEdge SG Advanced Manufacturing Index has generated a 21% total return which is close to the mid-point of the gains booked by global Industrial and Technology stocks since 2019.</li></ul>

From the end of 2019 to 9 Jan 2023, the iEdge SG Adv Manufacturing Index generated a 21% total return.Four of the 10 - Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Dyna-Mac, Halcyon Agri Corp and Sembcorp Marine were among the strongest seven strongest performers of the Index in 2022, with micro-caps Acesian Partners, Global Testing Corp, XMH Holdings the three strongest Index performers for the year.Since 2019, the iEdge SG Advanced Manufacturing Index has generated a 21% total return which is close to the mid-point of the gains booked by global Industrial and Technology stocks since 2019.

Singapore Manufacturing Index Books 21% Total Return since 2019 

<ul>
<li>For <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals (OZL AU)</a>,  look elsewhere unless you are VERY bullish copper. But if you are VERY bullish copper, buy copper options rather than the embedded option in OZL. </li>
<li>Game on as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/warrego-energy-ltd-082ab214-f4bb-4224-b321-8977486cd661" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7808:1" rel="noopener">Warrego Energy (WGO AU)</a> shareholders weigh the pros and cons of Hancock's all-cash Offer against <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/strike-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12473:1" rel="noopener">Strike Energy (STX AU)</a>'s "superior" scrip proposal. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jafco-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8848:1" rel="noopener">Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP)</a> succumbed to greenmail and tried to boost the price to explain the exit they were going to give Murakami-san. It didn't work. </li>
</ul>


For OZ Minerals (OZL AU),  look elsewhere unless you are VERY bullish copper. But if you are VERY bullish copper, buy copper options rather than the embedded option in OZL. 
Game on as Warrego Energy (WGO AU) shareholders weigh the pros and cons of Hancock's all-cash Offer against Strike Energy (STX AU)'s "superior" scrip proposal. 

Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP) succumbed to greenmail and tried to boost the price to explain the exit they were going to give Murakami-san. It didn't work. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Oz Minerals, Warrego, JAFCO, Swire Pac's A&Bs, Korean Mandatory Offers

Singapore

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (Holdings) Limited builds a wide range of ships. The Company produces a wide range of commercial vessels, mini bulk carriers, multi-purpose cargo vessels, containerships, chemical tankers, offshore supply vessels, rescue and salvage vessels, and lifting vessels.

Frencken Group Limited designs, develops, and produces complex and advanced modules and systems, based on precision mechanics, hardware and software.

Hong Leong Asia Limited manufactures and fabricates precast concrete products, trades and distributes steel and cement products,  The Company also manufactures and distributes refrigerators and freezers, assembles air-conditioners and diesel engines as well as manufactures and sells metal drums and containers, plastic packaging related products, and container components.

China Yuchai International Limited is a holding company.  Through its subsidiary, Guangxi Yuchai Machinery Company Limited (Yuchai), manufactures, assembles, and sells diesel engines in China.

China Yuchai International Limited (CYD US)

COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) Co., Ltd. provides ship building and repairing and marine engineering services. The Company offers bulk, liquefied natural gas, and special purpose carriers, as well as oil tankers. COSCO SHIPPING International serves customers worldwide.

COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) (COS SP)

InnoTek Ltd., through its subsidiaries, manufactures metal components.  The Company offers metal stamping, commercial tool and die fabrications, sub-assembly work and frame manufacturing.  InnoTek primarily serves customers in Japan and Europe.

World Precision Machinery Limited manufactures and supplies stamping machines and related metal components. The Company's other products include bending, cutting and CNC punching machines.

Sembcorp Industries Ltd provides utilities and integrated services for industrial sites such as power, gas, steam, water, wastewater treatment and other on-site services. The Company's businesses also include marine & offshore engineering and urban development comprising industrial parks and business, commercial and residential spaces.

Fu Yu Corporation Limited manufactures and sells precision plastic injection molds and plastic components.  The Company also manufactures and sells plastic, aluminum parts, electronic products, and equipment for medical use.

Grand Banks Yachts Limited, through its subsidiaries, builds and sells diesel-powered cruisers, and purchases and sells new and used yachts and boats. The Company also provides yacht repair and maintenance services, promotional and technical services, and manufactures and sells fiberglass yachts.

Terex Corporation is a diversified global manufacturer operating in four business segments: aerial work platforms; construction; cranes; and materials processing.  Terex manufactures a broad range of equipment for use in various industries including the construction, infrastructure, quarrying, mining, shipping, transportation, refining, energy and utility industries.

Avic Heavy Machinery Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets hydraulic pumps and motors, Rzeppa constant velocity joints, and other  related products.

EnPro Industries, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets proprietary engineered industrial products.  The Company's products include sealing products, metal polymer bearing products, air compressor systems and vacuum pumps, diesel and natural gas engines, and specialized tooling.  EnPro sells its products to customers located around the world.

Kurita Water Industries Ltd. manufactures, sells, and maintains water treatment equipment and systems.  The Company's products include water purification and waste water treatment equipment as well as soil remediation systems.  Kurita also manufactures and sells chemicals for water treatment related to sanitation, air-conditioning, and construction.

IHI Corporation manufactures heavy machinery. The Company produces aircraft jet engines, rocket propulsion systems, and ships for military and commercial use. Ishikawajima-Harima also constructs petroleum refineries and nuclear power plants.

Timken India Limited provides friction management solutions for a wide range of industry applications across the globe; from agriculture to construction, from heavy industrial applications to automobiles and from rail to related products. Timken provides a complete package solution for bearings and roll-shop maintenance.

Tian Di Science & Technology Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures mining automation control systems, mining machines, coal preparation equipment, and materials and equipment used for underground engineering. The Company also provides technical services and undertakes underground special construction projects.

Tian Di Science & Technology Co., (600582 CH)

HOSHIZAKI ELECTRIC CORPORATION manufactures and sells commercial use kitchen equipment such as freezers, refrigerators, food/beverage dispensers.  The Company has sales subsidiaries across Japan as well as overseas.

Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd.manufactures and markets construction machinery.  The Company's products include concrete machinery, cranes, road machinery, drilling equipment, and other heavy construction equipment.  Zoomlion also produces environmental machinery and satellite navigation products.

Sainty Marine Corp Ltd is a ship builder, designer, ship trader and heavy cargo ocean transporter.  The Company is based in Nanjing, China. Sainty Marine is also involved in financing support and technical services.

Seatrium Ltd offers engineering solutions for the offshore, marine, and energy industries. The Company provides rigs and floaters, repairs and upgrades, offshore platforms, and specialized shipbuilding. Seatrium serves customers worldwide.

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Seatrium (STM SP)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Kanematsu Elect/Sustech, Toshiba, Pushpay, Sembcorp, O2Micro

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Sembcorp Marine-Keppel O&M Merger Circular Squeaks In Under The Wire - Next Steps

Sembcorp Marine delivered its Circular for the Combination/Acquisition with/of Keppel subsidiary Keppel O&M. EGM on 16 Feb. Deal done by end of...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in SPACE: Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Osstem, Fujitsu General, Adani Enterprises

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Singapore Manufacturing Index Books 21% Total Return since 2019

From the end of 2019 to 9 Jan 2023, the iEdge SG Adv Manufacturing Index generated a 21% total return. Four of the 10 - Yangzijiang Shipbuilding,...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Oz Minerals, Warrego, JAFCO, Swire Pac's A&Bs, Korean Mandatory Offers

The silly season is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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