Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We screen for Global companies at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Global equity funds.</li>
<li>Low Positioning coupled with Negative Momentum:  Intel Corporation and Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation.</li>
<li>High Positioning coupled with High Momentum:  Amphenol Corporation and Iberdrola SA </li>
</ul>


We screen for Global companies at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Global equity funds.
Low Positioning coupled with Negative Momentum:  Intel Corporation and Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation.
High Positioning coupled with High Momentum:  Amphenol Corporation and Iberdrola SA 


Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Intel's EUR10 billion semiconductor plant in Germany faces delays due to budget battles over chips and batteries, impacting the nation's technology sector and economic growth.</li><li>Taiwan's luxury car market growth reflects its prosperous economy, while the country continues to prioritize a nuclear-free energy agenda despite increasing energy needs.</li><li>AI is revolutionizing nuclear energy production, enhancing efficiency and safety, leading to innovative developments in the industry and heightened global interest. StarLux Airlines is boosting Taiwan's role as a transit hub in Asia amidst evolving global dynamics.</li></ul>

Intel's EUR10 billion semiconductor plant in Germany faces delays due to budget battles over chips and batteries, impacting the nation's technology sector and economic growth.Taiwan's luxury car market growth reflects its prosperous economy, while the country continues to prioritize a nuclear-free energy agenda despite increasing energy needs.AI is revolutionizing nuclear energy production, enhancing efficiency and safety, leading to innovative developments in the industry and heightened global interest. StarLux Airlines is boosting Taiwan's role as a transit hub in Asia amidst evolving global dynamics.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Oct-2024): Intel's EUR10B plant stalls in Germany.

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Low volatility investing has taken the mantle from Dividend yield as the top strategy during July</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> are rated BUYs as their businesses show improvement.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingdee-international-sftwr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37:1" rel="noopener">Kingdee International Software (268 HK)</a> is seeing a softening in its SME business, however there is  potential to gain market share from foreign ERP companies given the pledged government's policies.
</li>
</ul>


Low volatility investing has taken the mantle from Dividend yield as the top strategy during July
BYD Electronics (285 HK) and Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) are rated BUYs as their businesses show improvement.  

Kingdee International Software (268 HK) is seeing a softening in its SME business, however there is  potential to gain market share from foreign ERP companies given the pledged government's policies.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 29)

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>OneStream, the financial software maker and enterprise-focused technology company, set terms for its IPO and plans to raise ~$441M at the midpoint of the range at $18.00 per share.  </li>
<li>The company was backed by American global investment company KKR, D1 Capital Partners, Investment Group of Santa Barbara and Tiger Global Management.</li>
<li>The offering is attractively valued vs. peers given 30%+ growth rates at scale and cash flow generation. OneStream shares are expected to list on the Nasdaq next week.</li>
</ul>


OneStream, the financial software maker and enterprise-focused technology company, set terms for its IPO and plans to raise ~$441M at the midpoint of the range at $18.00 per share.  
The company was backed by American global investment company KKR, D1 Capital Partners, Investment Group of Santa Barbara and Tiger Global Management.
The offering is attractively valued vs. peers given 30%+ growth rates at scale and cash flow generation. OneStream shares are expected to list on the Nasdaq next week.


OneStream IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis: Modest Upside and Top-Tier Backers

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Setting up to be a crucial quarter for the major cloud infrastructure providers and broader tech as investors focus on the cost/benefits of AI.</li><li>Over the last decade, AMZN, MSFT, and GOOGL have garnered outsized investor attention, in part due to their size, but equally due to each of their rapidly growing tech infrastructure businesses (AWS, Azure, and GCP, respectively).</li><li>Based on the capex commentary from all three exiting the December quarter, investors are hoping for early signs of business AI traction, but also bracing for greater clarity around the costs.</li></ul>

Setting up to be a crucial quarter for the major cloud infrastructure providers and broader tech as investors focus on the cost/benefits of AI.Over the last decade, AMZN, MSFT, and GOOGL have garnered outsized investor attention, in part due to their size, but equally due to each of their rapidly growing tech infrastructure businesses (AWS, Azure, and GCP, respectively).Based on the capex commentary from all three exiting the December quarter, investors are hoping for early signs of business AI traction, but also bracing for greater clarity around the costs.

Cloud Infrastructure Monitor - Upcoming Earnings Season Marks a Crucial Point for Sector and AI

United States

Oracle Corporation supplies software for enterprise information management. The Company offers databases and relational servers, application development and decision support tools, and enterprise business applications. Oracle's software runs on network computers, personal digital assistants, set-top devices, PCs, workstations, minicomputers, mainframes, and massively parallel computers.

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Oracle Corp (ORCL US)

Global Funds: Extreme Stocks

In this report, we utilize our Global fund holdings database to screen for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges.

Steven Holden

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Oct-2024): Intel's EUR10B plant stalls in Germany.

Intel's semiconductor plant in Germany faces delay due to chip and battery budget battle, Taiwan's luxury car market thrives, AI boosts nuclear...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 29)

Low volatility investing is performing well in July. BYD Electronics has seen better Apple related and NEV sales and Alibaba is increasing some...

David Mudd

OneStream IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis: Modest Upside and Top-Tier Backers

OneStream, a KKR-backed financial software maker, plans to raise ~$441M in upcoming IPO. The IPO valuation looks attractive, and I see a modest...

Andrei Zakharov

Cloud Infrastructure Monitor - Upcoming Earnings Season Marks a Crucial Point for Sector and AI

Setting up to be a crucial quarter for the major cloud infrastructure providers and broader tech as investors focus on the cost/benefits of AI.

Water Tower Research

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