Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.</li>
<li>The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.</li>
<li>According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.</li>
</ul>


On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.
The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.
According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.


Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We are starting a new series of insights called "Top 10 Korean Stock Picks Bi-Weekly."
</li>
<li>The main purpose of these insights is to pick top 10 stocks in Korea that could outperform KOSPI in the following two week period.</li>
<li>The top 10 stock picks include Kia Corp, Kangwon Land, OCI Holdings, HD Hyundai, Doosan Bobcat, BNK Financial, Hyundai Mobis, HMM, Hyundai Glovis, and Korean Reinsurance.</li>
</ul>


We are starting a new series of insights called "Top 10 Korean Stock Picks Bi-Weekly."

The main purpose of these insights is to pick top 10 stocks in Korea that could outperform KOSPI in the following two week period.
The top 10 stock picks include Kia Corp, Kangwon Land, OCI Holdings, HD Hyundai, Doosan Bobcat, BNK Financial, Hyundai Mobis, HMM, Hyundai Glovis, and Korean Reinsurance.


Top 10 Korean Stock Picks Bi-Weekly (Starting 20 January 2025)

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the increasing importance of Palantir Technologies (PLTR US) on influencing the political rallies in Korea. </li>
<li>In addition, we discuss how HD Hyundai's 34% ownership of Palantir Korea is likely to improve the positive sentiment on HD Hyundai. </li>
<li>Our sum-of-the-parts valuation analysis of HD Hyundai suggests implied market cap of 11 trillion won or target price of 139,845 won per share (63% upside from current levels).</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the increasing importance of Palantir Technologies (PLTR US) on influencing the political rallies in Korea. 
In addition, we discuss how HD Hyundai's 34% ownership of Palantir Korea is likely to improve the positive sentiment on HD Hyundai. 
Our sum-of-the-parts valuation analysis of HD Hyundai suggests implied market cap of 11 trillion won or target price of 139,845 won per share (63% upside from current levels).


Palantir's Influence on the Political Rallies in Korea & HD Hyundai's 34% Stake in Palantir Korea

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P500 is up 27.7% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is down 6.9% YTD. Global fund flow continues to pour into top quality US stocks such as Palantir, Tesla, and NVIDIA.</li>
<li>The top 20 best performing stocks in KOSPI 200 are up on average 106.8% YTD. However, the remaining 180 stocks in KOSPI 200 are down on average 9.2% YTD. </li>
<li>There is no large Palantir-like company that deals with AI/data analytics in Korea. However, large cap IT services and telcos in Korea are increasingly expanding their AI/data analytics related business.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P500 is up 27.7% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is down 6.9% YTD. Global fund flow continues to pour into top quality US stocks such as Palantir, Tesla, and NVIDIA.
The top 20 best performing stocks in KOSPI 200 are up on average 106.8% YTD. However, the remaining 180 stocks in KOSPI 200 are down on average 9.2% YTD. 
There is no large Palantir-like company that deals with AI/data analytics in Korea. However, large cap IT services and telcos in Korea are increasingly expanding their AI/data analytics related business.


A Comparison of KOSPI 200 and S&P 500 Companies Performances in 2024

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a> was listed in Korea on 9th May 2024 after raising US$540m. Its six-month lockup will expire on 7th Nov 2024.</li>
<li>HD Hyundai Marine Solution is a ship aftermarket service provider that provides necessary services throughout a ship's life cycle after the delivery of a new ship.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) was listed in Korea on 9th May 2024 after raising US$540m. Its six-month lockup will expire on 7th Nov 2024.
HD Hyundai Marine Solution is a ship aftermarket service provider that provides necessary services throughout a ship's life cycle after the delivery of a new ship.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


HD Hyundai Marine US$1.18bn Lockup Expiry - KKR Might Be Tempted to Book Gains

South Korea

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering Co., Ltd. operates as a shipbuilding and offshore company. The Company provides industrial plant engineering, special and naval shipbuilding, marine engine and machinery, industrial machinery and energy services. HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering markets its products worldwide.

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering (009540 KS)

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering

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HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering (009540 KS)

Asian Dividend Gems: HD Hyundai

FTC decided to conditionally approve the acquisition of STX Heavy Industries by HD Korea Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering. With this business...

Douglas Kim

Top 10 Korean Stock Picks Bi-Weekly (Starting 20 January 2025)

We are starting a new series of insights called "Top 10 Korean Stock Picks Bi-Weekly." Main purpose of them is to pick top 10 stocks in Korea that...

Douglas Kim

Palantir's Influence on the Political Rallies in Korea & HD Hyundai's 34% Stake in Palantir Korea

We discuss the increasing importance of Palantir on influencing the political rallies in Korea. HD Hyundai's 34% ownership of Palantir Korea is...

Douglas Kim

A Comparison of KOSPI 200 and S&P 500 Companies Performances in 2024

There is no large Palantir-like company that deals with AI/data analytics in Korea. However, large cap IT services and telcos in Korea are...

Douglas Kim

HD Hyundai Marine US$1.18bn Lockup Expiry - KKR Might Be Tempted to Book Gains

KKR is selling around 4% of HD Hyundai Marine's stock to raise US$160m. The selldown comes right after the PE comes out of its six-month IPO...

Clarence Chu

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