Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

Zoetop Business Co., Limited, doing business as SHEIN, operates as a fashion e-commerce platform. The Company focuses on women's wear, men's apparel, children's clothes, accessories, shoes, bags, and other fashion items. SHEIN serves clients worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Crucial US "de minimis" imports exemption will end this Thursday night, May 1st</li>
<li>Beginning May 2nd, low-value direct-to-US consumer imports subject to duties, reporting </li>
<li>For US consumers, buying from SHEIN et al set to become more expensive, more onerous</li>
</ul>


Crucial US "de minimis" imports exemption will end this Thursday night, May 1st
Beginning May 2nd, low-value direct-to-US consumer imports subject to duties, reporting 
For US consumers, buying from SHEIN et al set to become more expensive, more onerous


May 1st Marks End of US "De Minimis" Exemption that Has Enabled Growth of SHEIN, Temu, & AliExpress

Equity Bottom-Up

Trip.com Group Ltd. provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services.

<ul>
<li>March demand growth improved vs weak February, but Q125 showed clear slowdown vs trend</li>
<li>Relatively strong demand growth for outbound travel is no longer lifting airline load factors</li>
<li>Near-Term, we no longer view Chinese travel as attractive, as stocks appear to lack catalysts</li>
</ul>


March demand growth improved vs weak February, but Q125 showed clear slowdown vs trend
Relatively strong demand growth for outbound travel is no longer lifting airline load factors
Near-Term, we no longer view Chinese travel as attractive, as stocks appear to lack catalysts


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | March and Q125 Demand Growth Weak Vs Trend (April 2025)

Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>FY24 revenue growth of 19% solid, but mostly driven by one operating segment</li>
<li>Gross margin in FY24 fell on mix, but platform monetization down, too</li>
<li>Sharp growth in FY24 working capital requires investors' close attention</li>
</ul>


FY24 revenue growth of 19% solid, but mostly driven by one operating segment
Gross margin in FY24 fell on mix, but platform monetization down, too
Sharp growth in FY24 working capital requires investors' close attention


Lalatech IPO | Review of FY24 Financials & OpStats | Mostly Solid Numbers | Plus a Few Questions

Evergreen Marine Corp. (Taiwan) Ltd. transports freight by ships. The Company operates container ships to move freight throughout the world. Evergreen Marine has interests in terminals, airline operations and motor freight transportation, as well as container manufacturing.

<ul>
<li>For the first time since Q322, our price momentum index flipped to negative</li>
<li>We see few signs of US tariff impacts in the March data -- not surprising</li>
<li>New US levies on China-built ships unhelpful, but most carriers can adjust</li>
</ul>


For the first time since Q322, our price momentum index flipped to negative
We see few signs of US tariff impacts in the March data -- not surprising
New US levies on China-built ships unhelpful, but most carriers can adjust


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Price Turns Negative | Tariff, Ship Levy Impacts (April 2025)

Air China Limited provides passenger, cargo, and airline-related services in China.  The Company is primarily based in Beijing and a major hub for domestic and international air transportation.  Air China's airline-related services include aircraft maintenance, repair, overhaul service, ground services, and in-flight catering services.

<ul>
<li>Combined January-February activity indicates demand growth continues to slow down</li>
<li>Similarly, capacity restoration &amp; load factors on outbound flights appear to have stagnated </li>
<li>We expect shares of Chinese airlines to continue to outperform travel platform Trip.com</li>
</ul>


Combined January-February activity indicates demand growth continues to slow down
Similarly, capacity restoration &amp; load factors on outbound flights appear to have stagnated 
We expect shares of Chinese airlines to continue to outperform travel platform Trip.com


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Growth of Travel Demand Slowed in January-February (March 2025)

Tracking Traffic
Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

May 1st Marks End of US "De Minimis" Exemption that Has Enabled Growth of SHEIN, Temu, & AliExpress

US "de minimis" import rules that have enabled the growth of platforms like SHEIN and Temu will change dramatically this week. We believe the...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | March and Q125 Demand Growth Weak Vs Trend (April 2025)

Data from China's leading airlines and some popular regional destinations show a clear slowing of travel demand growth in March and Q125. For now,...

Tracking Traffic

Lalatech IPO | Review of FY24 Financials & OpStats | Mostly Solid Numbers | Plus a Few Questions

Lalatech's latest IPO application in Hong Kong shows solid FY24 growth, but we identify three key issues that deserve investors' attention.

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Price Turns Negative | Tariff, Ship Levy Impacts (April 2025)

In March we believe average deep-sea container rates fell Y/Y. Risks facing the carriers -- higher tariffs, new levies on Chinese ships in the US,...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Growth of Travel Demand Slowed in January-February (March 2025)

The growth of Chinese travel demand appeared to slow in the first two months of 2025. We believe the Chinese airlines can continue to outperform...

Tracking Traffic