Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lenovo Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, sells, and manufactures personal computers and handheld devices. The Company also provides Internet services and IT services, and contracting manufacturing business.

<ul>
<li>In today's Convertibles Brief publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Lenovo</li>
<li>Credit markets widened on Friday, with the iTraxx X-Over increasing 8 bps to 304 bps.</li>
<li>European bourses declined 0.1-1.3%, except for the IBEX 35 (+1.0%). In the US, the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq fell 1.3% and 2.2%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


In today's Convertibles Brief publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Lenovo
Credit markets widened on Friday, with the iTraxx X-Over increasing 8 bps to 304 bps.
European bourses declined 0.1-1.3%, except for the IBEX 35 (+1.0%). In the US, the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq fell 1.3% and 2.2%, respectively.


Lucror Analytics - Convertibles Brief: Lenovo (992 HK)

<ul>
<li>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell yesterday said that there is no need for the US central bank to rush rate cuts.</li>
<li>He said: "The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates," adding that "the strength we are currently seeing in the economy gives us the ability to approach our decisions carefully".</li>
<li>Following Mr Powell's comments, traders reduced their expectations for an interest-rate cut in December to 60% from 80% earlier. </li>
</ul>


Fed Chairman Jerome Powell yesterday said that there is no need for the US central bank to rush rate cuts.
He said: "The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates," adding that "the strength we are currently seeing in the economy gives us the ability to approach our decisions carefully".
Following Mr Powell's comments, traders reduced their expectations for an interest-rate cut in December to 60% from 80% earlier. 


SoftBank Group Corp provides telecommunication services.  The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

<ul>
<li>USTs were sold off across the curve yesterday. The yield on the 10Y UST increased 12 bps to 4.42%.</li>
<li>Open interest rose for the fourth consecutive session on the 2Y notes contract, with traders building up bearish positions following the US presidential election.</li>
<li>Traders are pricing in just over a 50% chance that officials will deliver another quarter-point rate cut in December, and are now pricing in about two US rate cuts through June 2025 (vs. almost four projected at the start of last week).</li>
</ul>


USTs were sold off across the curve yesterday. The yield on the 10Y UST increased 12 bps to 4.42%.
Open interest rose for the fourth consecutive session on the 2Y notes contract, with traders building up bearish positions following the US presidential election.
Traders are pricing in just over a 50% chance that officials will deliver another quarter-point rate cut in December, and are now pricing in about two US rate cuts through June 2025 (vs. almost four projected at the start of last week).


The U.S. Dollar Index(USDX) indicates the general int'l value of the USD. The USDX does this by averaging the exchange rates between the USD and  major world currencies.  The ICE US computes this by using the rates supplied by some 500 banks. FOR REAL TIME SEE EIS ICEA<GO>. 

<ul>
<li>It was a quiet day yesterday, with no major data releases given the Veterans Day holiday in the US.</li>
<li>US equities rose for the fifth straight session, albeit gains were modest, with the S&amp;P 500 inching up 0.1% to c. 6,000. The Dollar Index hovered at a one-year high.</li>
<li>Bitcoin rallied past the USD 89,000 mark, lifting the entire crypto market above its pandemic-era peak. </li>
</ul>


It was a quiet day yesterday, with no major data releases given the Veterans Day holiday in the US.
US equities rose for the fifth straight session, albeit gains were modest, with the S&amp;P 500 inching up 0.1% to c. 6,000. The Dollar Index hovered at a one-year high.
Bitcoin rallied past the USD 89,000 mark, lifting the entire crypto market above its pandemic-era peak. 


Tata Steel Ltd. is an integrated steel producer which manufactures a variety of steel products. The Company's products include steel ball bearing rings, alloy steel bearing rings, annular forgings, flanges, bearings, welded steel tubes, cold rolled strips and seamless tubes. Tata Steel also manufactures metallurgical machinery.

<ul>
<li>Tata Steel’s Q2/24-25 results were acceptable and in line with expectations.</li>
<li>The operating environment remains challenging due to surging exports from China, which have weighed on steel prices.</li>
<li>The company's earnings improved y-o-y but declined q-o-q.</li>
</ul>


Tata Steel’s Q2/24-25 results were acceptable and in line with expectations.
The operating environment remains challenging due to surging exports from China, which have weighed on steel prices.
The company's earnings improved y-o-y but declined q-o-q.


Trung is responsible for covering high yield companies in the South East Asian region. He joined Lucror in 2013 from ST Asset Management, a credit investment arm of Temasek Holdings, where he spent over six years in investment research and portfolio management with a focus on high yield, structured credit and leveraged finance.

Trung holds a Master in Financial Engineering from Nanyang Technological University, Singapore and Certificate in Computational Finance from Carnegie Mellon University. He is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and a Financial Risk Manager (FRM) charter-holder.

Trung Nguyen
Senior Credit Analyst
• Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Convertibles Brief: Lenovo (992 HK)

In today's Convertibles Brief publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: LenovoCredit markets widened on Friday,...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell yesterday said that there is no need for the US central bank to rush rate cuts. He said: "The economy is not sending...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

Open interest rose for the fourth consecutive session on the 2Y notes contract, with traders building up bearish positions following the US...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

US equities rose for the fifth straight session, albeit gains were modest, with the S&P 500 inching up 0.1% to c. 6,000. The Dollar Index hovered...

Lucror Analytics

Tata Steel - Acceptable Numbers

Tata Steel’s Q2/24-25 results were acceptable and in line with expectations.The operating environment remains challenging due to surging exports...

Lucror Analytics