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Phil Rush

Phil Rush
Chief Economist
Heteronomics

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bullishMacroeconomics
19 Jul 2024 19:15

HEW: Rate Cuts Not Boxed-In

UK economic data was mostly as expected, but increased services inflation tipped the balance towards a hawkish stance. The ECB maintained...

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bullishMacroeconomics
19 Jul 2024 00:00

ECB: September Cut Not Yet Determined

The ECB unanimously held its policy rates in July, as widely expected after June’s cut, and refused to pre-commit to any outcome in September. Its...

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bullishMacroeconomics
18 Jul 2024 18:30

UK: Slow Slackening Progress for Pay

The UK unemployment rate remained at 4.4% in May as the H1 increases are grinding to a halt in a similar pattern to 2023. Underlying changes are...

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bullishMacroeconomics
18 Jul 2024 00:30

EA Inflation Stable Enough for the ECB

The final EA inflation print confirmed the flash at 2.52% in June, with services refusing to slow from 4.1%. Median inflation rates broadly...

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bullishMacroeconomics
17 Jul 2024 20:00

UK Discounts Soften Stronger Services

UK inflation was broadly unchanged and close to expectations in June, although resilient services price strength was offset by temporary weakness...

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