Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Agri | Weather | Energy Transition, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Agri | Weather | Energy Transition

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Despite strong jobs data, the yield curve has inverted once again. This inversion is driven by delay in rate cut expectations.</li>
<li>Encouraging PCE data which showed inflation easing to 2.2% (lowest since 2021 &amp; close to Fed's target), the likelihood of a cumulative 50 bps cut has steadily risen.</li>
<li>Soft landing reduces urgency for aggressive rate cuts, giving the Fed more flexibility to monitor the effects of previous rate hikes and to lower rates more gradually.</li>
</ul>


Despite strong jobs data, the yield curve has inverted once again. This inversion is driven by delay in rate cut expectations.
Encouraging PCE data which showed inflation easing to 2.2% (lowest since 2021 &amp; close to Fed's target), the likelihood of a cumulative 50 bps cut has steadily risen.
Soft landing reduces urgency for aggressive rate cuts, giving the Fed more flexibility to monitor the effects of previous rate hikes and to lower rates more gradually.


2-Year US Treasury Note Futures (TU1 COMDTY)

Yield Curve Reinverts On Rising Soft Landing Expectations