China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

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China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Users are enthusiastic about the return of 5G Huawei smartphones, and thus we expect sales volume of Huawei devices to improve. </li>
<li>If the combined share of Huawei+ Honor can reach 30/32% we estimate Xiaomi’s current 12.5% share of the China smartphone market could decline 0.8/1.3ppts, respectively.</li>
<li>We maintain Xiaomi’s SELL and HK$ 8.2 TP, implying 26x FY23 PE. The increase in CY23 EPS reflects lowered OPEX, improved gross margin due to the impact of IC oversupply.</li>
</ul>


Users are enthusiastic about the return of 5G Huawei smartphones, and thus we expect sales volume of Huawei devices to improve. 
If the combined share of Huawei+ Honor can reach 30/32% we estimate Xiaomi’s current 12.5% share of the China smartphone market could decline 0.8/1.3ppts, respectively.
We maintain Xiaomi’s SELL and HK$ 8.2 TP, implying 26x FY23 PE. The increase in CY23 EPS reflects lowered OPEX, improved gross margin due to the impact of IC oversupply.


[Xiaomi(1810 HK, SELL, TP HK$8.2)  Update]: Huawei’s Impact on Xiaomi Will Be Meaningful in 2024

Xiaomi Corp

[Xiaomi(1810 HK, SELL, TP HK$8.2) Update]: Huawei’s Impact on Xiaomi Will Be Meaningful in 2024