Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

US Pivot Break, Buy/Bigger Inflection Level

China Banks – Some Clarity On LGFV Financing

Low Global FX Vol: Maturity or Complacency?

China Growth Outlook: Facing Headwinds, While Exchange Rate Relief Depends on Fed Policy Changes

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Chinese economy is mysteriously weak in 2021. Yet policy stimulus is so far muted
</li>
<li>China may be refocusing economy policy permanently away from ‘growth’ and towards ‘stability’
</li>
<li>This could mark a major ‘financialization’ drive linked to the growing international use of the Yuan</li>
<li>China’s domestic growth rate could potentially halve compared to the past decade</li>
<li>World GDP growth trend may be dented by around ½% per annum as result</li>
</ul>


Chinese economy is mysteriously weak in 2021. Yet policy stimulus is so far muted

China may be refocusing economy policy permanently away from ‘growth’ and towards ‘stability’

This could mark a major ‘financialization’ drive linked to the growing international use of the Yuan
China’s domestic growth rate could potentially halve compared to the past decade
World GDP growth trend may be dented by around ½% per annum as result


Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SHCOMP INDEX)

What China’s Economic Slowdown Really Means?