History shows that high inflation over a presidential term is fatal to incumbents (1952, 1976, 1980, 1992). Prices 25% above Jan'21 will harm Harris. Trump is thus pulling ahead in all swing states.
What is covered in the Full Insight:
Introduction to the Dead Heat in the Presidential Race
Poll Analysis: Trump Leading in Swing States
Impact of Inflation on Incumbent's Chances
Economic Perceptions vs. Reality
Implications of Trump's Economic Policies
SUMMARY
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