bullish

US: Presidential Race Remains a Dead Heat but Perceived Inflation Likely a Tiebreaker

158 Views22 Oct 2024 03:17
​History shows that high inflation over a presidential term is fatal to incumbents (1952, 1976, 1980, 1992). Prices 25% above Jan'21 will harm Harris. Trump is thus pulling ahead in all swing states.
What is covered in the Full Insight:
  • Introduction to the Dead Heat in the Presidential Race
  • Poll Analysis: Trump Leading in Swing States
  • Impact of Inflation on Incumbent's Chances
  • Economic Perceptions vs. Reality
  • Implications of Trump's Economic Policies
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