Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

Repo Squeeze - Can It Start the Next Liquidity Crisis

Gold Bullish Follow Through and Macro Inflection Point

Volatility Is Back - And That's Bad for Credit

Fed Prepares for Insurance Rate Cut, But Repeat of 1995-6 Conduct Not Guaranteed

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Macroeconomics

<p><strong> </strong></p><ul>
<li>Global Liquidity remains weak</li>
<li>Warns of insufficient balance sheet capacity to roll-over our huge debts</li>
<li>This creates excess demand for ‘safe’ assets that explain low Treasury yields</li>
<li>Implies ‘true’ Fed Funds nearer-6% than 2¼%: US Fed still far too tight</li>
</ul>

 
Global Liquidity remains weak
Warns of insufficient balance sheet capacity to roll-over our huge debts
This creates excess demand for ‘safe’ assets that explain low Treasury yields
Implies ‘true’ Fed Funds nearer-6% than 2¼%: US Fed still far too tight


iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT US)

Up, Up and Downnnnnnnn… Why This Crisis Is About Finance (Again) And Not About The Economy