Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC, a CTA based in Austin, Texas (USA), where I developed and ran automated algorithmic trading strategies for the US Futures and Options markets. 

My work is focused on the statistical study of the "persistence of trends" and "mean reversion" effects in global Equities, Futures, Indexes, Bonds and FX Spot markets. I make extensive use of probabilistic Bayesian models to predict short-term (1 day to few weeks) trend reversals.

I do not use any AI/machine learning processes in my work: all models and algorithms are built by humans. This approach is very labour-intensive but produces forecasts that have a clearly understandable/explainable rationale (no black-boxes).

Quantitative Researcher

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

Toyota Motors: Is It Really Adapting to China’s Market For Long-Term Growth?

EQD | Toyota (7203 JP // TM US) - Option Opportunities Amid Tariff Tension

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Quantitative Analysis

Japan Automobiles and components / Quantitative Analysis

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Strong Financials: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> Q3 earnings estimates, forecasting ¥47T revenue for FY 2025, but revenue growth (3.15%) lags behind the industry average (11.93%).</li>
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Strategic Expansion: Investments in EV production, U.S. facility upgrades, and battery supply chain development reinforce <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota</a>’s long-term growth strategy.</li>
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Analyst Outlook: Despite modest revenue growth, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota</a>’s strong financials and EV push support a potential stock rebound from recent lows. Our model supports a LONG trade anticipating an imminent rebound/rally.
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Strong Financials: Toyota Motor (7203 JP) Q3 earnings estimates, forecasting ¥47T revenue for FY 2025, but revenue growth (3.15%) lags behind the industry average (11.93%).

Strategic Expansion: Investments in EV production, U.S. facility upgrades, and battery supply chain development reinforce Toyota’s long-term growth strategy.

Analyst Outlook: Despite modest revenue growth, Toyota’s strong financials and EV push support a potential stock rebound from recent lows. Our model supports a LONG trade  anticipating an imminent rebound/rally.



Toyota's (7203 JP) Outlook and Profit Targets for Imminent Rally