Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst with experience in fundamental and event-driven research in Frontier and Emerging markets. 

On Smartkarma, I mainly publish insights on index flow events in the Asia-Pacific region. This includes predicting regular and intra-review index changes and estimating upcoming passive flows. I also cover special situations such as mergers & acquisitions, equity offerings, buybacks, and other corporate restructuring events.

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

TOPIX April-End Rebalance - The OTHER Trades

Toshiba - The King Is Dead, Long Live the King

Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) Chapter 1: CEO Out, Activists up the Game

Toshiba - The CEO Gets His MBO Bidder and Toshiba Will Get Interestinger

TOPIX Index Upweights: The Big April Basket 2021

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) calculates Free-Float Weight (FFW) for each listed company and uses this value as a key component of TOPIX Index Calculation. For companies with "low liquidity" the FFW will be multiplied by a fixed liquidity factor ("LF") of 0.75 to derive the final FFW used for index calculation.In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/topix-index-upweights-the-big-april-basket-2021" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:49660" rel="noopener">TOPIX Index Upweights: The Big April Basket 2021</a>, I discussed how the Tokyo Stock Exchange reviews this Liquidity Factor every April and highlighted 50 names (the "Big April Basket 2021") that could potentially have their liquidity factors removed in this April's review.<div class="content-highlight">
Today after the close, the official review results were announced and 48 out of 50 names in our Big April Basket 2021 were correct translating to a hit ratio of 96%. There were 11 other names added, and two of the names we expected to see the LF lifted did not. 
As of today's close, our Big April Basket (equally-weighted) is up +3.61% against the TOPIX Index in 7 trading days (since the close of the day after the insight) and there could be more to come. 
</div>Below is a discussion on the details of the official review results and what changes are required for our basket strategy during the event-leg which could run until the end of April.

The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) calculates Free-Float Weight (FFW) for each listed company and uses this value as a key component of TOPIX Index Calculation. For companies with "low liquidity" the FFW will be multiplied by a fixed liquidity factor ("LF") of 0.75 to derive the final FFW used for index calculation.In TOPIX Index Upweights: The Big April Basket 2021, I discussed how the Tokyo Stock Exchange reviews this Liquidity Factor every April and highlighted 50 names (the "Big April Basket 2021") that could potentially have their liquidity factors removed in this April's review.
Today after the close, the official review results were announced and 48 out of 50 names in our Big April Basket 2021 were correct translating to a hit ratio of 96%. There were 11 other names added, and two of the names we expected to see the LF lifted did not. 
As of today's close, our Big April Basket (equally-weighted) is up +3.61% against the TOPIX Index in 7 trading days (since the close of the day after the insight) and there could be more to come. 
Below is a discussion on the details of the official review results and what changes are required for our basket strategy during the event-leg which could run until the end of April. 

TOPIX Upweights: Big April Basket 2021 Pre-Event Is a WIN! Now the Event-Leg!