Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Mr. Bhaskaran is a leading Asian economist based in Singapore with more than 30 years of experience in studying economic, political and security issues that shape the business environment in Asia. He co-ordinates the Asian business of Washington DC-based strategic advisory firm, Centennial Group, directing its Asian economic research practice which provides in-depth analysis of macro trends in Asia. He works extensively with investment institutions, government agencies and corporations. Mr. Bhaskaran regularly presents his views on the economic, political and business environment in Asia at business conferences and in-house briefings. He has conducted studies on a wide range of subjects including: consumer finance in Asia; Asian integration; regional and country-specific political and economic outlooks; the Impact of China on Asia; portfolio capital flows in emerging markets, amongst many others. He is as a member of the Regional Advisory Group for Asia and the Pacific of the International Monetary Fund. Mr. Bhaskaran is a regular columnist for The Edge (Singapore) and holds positions in think tanks including being Adjunct Senior Research Fellow at the Institute of Policy Studies (IPS); Vice President of the Economics Society of Singapore, and Council Member of the Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA). Mr. Bhaskaran serves on the boards of CIMB Investment Bank and Japfa Limited.

Asia Economist and CEO

The Spectre of Dearer Oil Haunts Asian Economies

Bullish Outlook on Oil Prices on the Back of Looming Supply Woes

Global Oil Outlook: Despite Tumble in July, Brace for an Extended Spell of High Oil Prices

Oil: Prospect of Supply Crunch Spells Trouble for Asian Economies

The Rally in Oil Prices Runs Out of Steam

Oil: Shale Could Prove to Be a Gamechanger in 2018

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Oil demand will continue to be buttressed by a buoyant global economy, along with strong demand from the emerging behemoths, India and China. On the supply side, constraints in US pipeline capacity could leave OPEC, which has been disciplined in upholding the production cuts, in a better position to dictate prices.</li><li>Tensions in the Middle East have increased lately as antagonistic powers continue to jostle for influence in the oil-flush region.</li><li>Asian economies will bear the brunt of higher oil prices, in the form of elevated inflationary pressures, lower economic growth, a ballooning import bill, and uncomfortable policy dilemmas relating to public finances. India and Indonesia stand to lose out the most from dearer oil.</li></ul>

Oil demand will continue to be buttressed by a buoyant global economy, along with strong demand from the emerging behemoths, India and China. On the supply side, constraints in US pipeline capacity could leave OPEC, which has been disciplined in upholding the production cuts, in a better position to dictate prices.Tensions in the Middle East have increased lately as antagonistic powers continue to jostle for influence in the oil-flush region.Asian economies will bear the brunt of higher oil prices, in the form of elevated inflationary pressures, lower economic growth, a ballooning import bill, and uncomfortable policy dilemmas relating to public finances. India and Indonesia stand to lose out the most from dearer oil.

Three Reasons Oil Prices Could Spike, Creating Headwinds for Asian Economies