Economist, Centennial Asia Advisors

Nicholas Chia

Centennial Asia Advisors deliver timely and accurate economic and political analysis to investors, focused on anticipating key turning points that affect the client’s interests in the Asia-Pacific region. Clients include public agencies and central banks, as well as fund managers and investment banks. The company draws strength from its flexibility to tailor products to fit client’s specific interests. It provides detailed macro-economic forecasts, scenario analysis and timely assessments of how specific major economic and political developments may affect a client’s areas of interest. At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way.

Economist

Bullish Outlook on Oil Prices on the Back of Looming Supply Woes

Global Oil Outlook: Despite Tumble in July, Brace for an Extended Spell of High Oil Prices

Global Oil Outlook and the Impact on Asia as Supply Disruptions Loom

Three Reasons Oil Prices Could Spike, Creating Headwinds for Asian Economies

Oil: Prospect of Supply Crunch Spells Trouble for Asian Economies

The Rally in Oil Prices Runs Out of Steam

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Demand conditions remain supportive for oil prices, in spite of a near-term moderation in demand by large Asian importers. On the supply side, OPEC continues to over-tighten markets, putting upward pressure on prices even as US output continues to break records.</li>
<li>Geopolitical risks have receded a tad but the prospect of a US-China trade war, as well as American pressure on Iran could widen the risk premium in oil prices.</li>
<li>Asian economies stand to lose out from dearer oil as economic growth would slow while stirring price pressures become more salient. The worsening of external balances, at a time of a riskier global environment, points to the double whammy posed by dearer oil.</li>
</ul>


Demand conditions remain supportive for oil prices, in spite of a near-term moderation in demand by large Asian importers. On the supply side, OPEC continues to over-tighten markets, putting upward pressure on prices even as US output continues to break records.
Geopolitical risks have receded a tad but the prospect of a US-China trade war, as well as American pressure on Iran could widen the risk premium in oil prices.
Asian economies stand to lose out from dearer oil as economic growth would slow while stirring price pressures become more salient. The worsening of external balances, at a time of a riskier global environment, points to the double whammy posed by dearer oil.


The Spectre of Dearer Oil Haunts Asian Economies