We went long Taiwan equities end-2023 in expectation of regional outperformance. The TAIEX is up 31% CYTD. It has further to run. Ignore geopolitics, stay overweight equities and the NT$.
The economic and corporate earnings outlooks are positive. The Taiwanese business cycle is in a broad-based upswing. Corporate fundamentals are healthy. The investment and credit cycles are strengthening.
Meanwhile China dependence is declining. Exporters are diversifying away, and manufacturers are sensibly hedging against geopolitical risks and the Chinese economy by investing beyond.
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