The Taiwan Question

228 Views19 Nov 2024 16:42
SUMMARY
  • We went long Taiwan equities end-2023 in expectation of regional outperformance. The TAIEX is up 31% CYTD. It has further to run. Ignore geopolitics, stay overweight equities and the NT$.
  • The economic and corporate earnings outlooks are positive. The Taiwanese business cycle is in a broad-based upswing. Corporate fundamentals are healthy. The investment and credit cycles are strengthening.
  • Meanwhile China dependence is declining. Exporters are diversifying away, and manufacturers are sensibly hedging against geopolitical risks and the Chinese economy by investing beyond.
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