Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

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CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Macroeconomics

We are worried. Bear markets in risk assets are frequently driven by the concurrence of three factors:<ul>
<li> high investor risk appetite readings</li>
<li>high but skittish cross-border capital flows, and</li>
<li>
Central Banks determined to keep tightening</li>
</ul>Today we have all three. They have come together for the first time since 2008. Of these three, we put particular weight on cross-border capital flows. The chart bellows shows our in-house index of gross cross-border financial flows into World markets, normalised by…

We are worried. Bear markets in risk assets are frequently driven by the concurrence of three factors:
 high investor risk appetite readings
high but skittish cross-border capital flows, and

Central Banks determined to keep tightening
Today we have all three. They have come together for the first time since 2008. Of these three, we put particular weight on cross-border capital flows. The chart bellows shows our in-house index of gross cross-border financial flows into World markets, normalised by…

The Second Leg Down: What Capital Flows Tell Us About A Coming 2018 Correction?