The Holy Grail of Commodity Trading? If there is a holy grail of commodity trading, I would say it’s becoming a master in reading the movements in the futures forward curve.
Knowing how futures contracts change and how the curve shifts from contango to backwardation, and vice versa, gives commodity traders a lot of useful info about the physical supply and demand.
While many market participants argue about the meaning and definition of backwardation and contango, the direction in which the spreads are actually moving is far more important to us.
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