Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

HK Type 4 license through Ballingal Investment Advisors Ltd. ("BIA" or "BIAL")

BACKGROUND
I have 20+yrs experience in Asia doing alternative strategies (i.e. non-delta1 non long-only) in fixed income, equity derivatives, and activist/catalyst/event-driven and long-short equity strategies with most of that time spent managing money. 

4 years in fixed income macro, 8 years running internal hedge fund and 4yrs investment banking at Citi in Japan, 3 years running an Asia multi-strat portfolio at a hedge fund, 4+yrs as an independent special situations analyst.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Updated TOPIX Selldown and Index Flows This Week - Initial TOPIX Selldown of Toshiba NEXT Month

The Bigly March 2024 "Wednesday-Friday Trade" (Surprising Flows)

Mar24 Nikkei 225 Rebal: Zozo (3092) And Other ADDs Update

September Nikkei 225 Review - Lasertec, Mercari, Nitori IN, Expected DELETEs Out (Matsui the Biggie)

Lasertec (6920) - The State of Things May Be Different Than You Think

The BIG March 2023 "Wednesday Thursday Trade"

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Every year it's the same trade. This year it is Wednesday and Thursday. There are risks to the analysis - notably allocation.</li>
<li>But there may be ¥800bn+ to buy on one day into the close later this month (+ another ¥200-300bn on two other days). Then a ¥500bn sell two days later.</li>
<li>Over the past ten years, the two day return on the March trade is great. In Sep, not so much. This year there are Extra Special Flows.</li>
</ul>


Every year it's the same trade. This year it is Wednesday and Thursday. There are risks to the analysis - notably allocation.
But there may be ¥800bn+ to buy on one day into the close later this month (+ another ¥200-300bn on two other days). Then a ¥500bn sell two days later.
Over the past ten years, the two day return on the March trade is great. In Sep, not so much. This year there are Extra Special Flows.


The Biggish Sep 2023 "Wednesday-Thursday Trade" With Added Monday/Friday Flavour

Lasertec Corp

The Biggish Sep 2023 "Wednesday-Thursday Trade" With Added Monday/Friday Flavour