Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

PK Basu has 34 years experience covering Asia's economies and markets (equities, fixed income and currencies), including 20 years covering the global economy. He was Chief Economist (SE Asia & India) at Credit Suisse First Boston for 5 years, and Chief Asia (x-Jpn) Economist at Daiwa Securities for a similar period. Among other roles, he was global head of research at Maybank Kim Eng, Malaysia equity research head and chief ASEAN economist at Macquarie, Chief Economist at ICICI Securities, ASEAN economist at UBS and the first chief economist at Khazanah Nasional (where he was co-head of research, and led all agri-business initiatives). PK Basu started his career in the Asia Service of WEFA (Wharton Econometrics) in Philadelphia in 1990, rising to be Director of their Asia Service in June 1994. 
PK's book, "Asia Reborn: A continent rises from the ravages of Colonialism and War to a New Dynamism" won the Tata Literature First Book Award (non-fiction) for 2018. It is the first single chronicle of the modern economic and political history of the whole of Asia (from Iraq and Turkey to Korea and Japan, and everything in between), told from an Asian perspective.

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

Singapore: Productivity-Led Cyclical Recovery Will Dampen Inflation, Ease Policy

Singapore Economics - Core Inflation Remains Sticky, MAS to Stand Pat in 2024

Singapore's Strong Rebound Will Raise Inflation, Strengthening SGD in 2H 2021

Singapore Economics - Manufacturing Contracts At Softer Pace, Chips and Pharm A Drag

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Productivity has declined 0.95%YoY on average over the latest 8 quarters, with Singapore's economic growth depending entirely on rather rapid 4.85%YoY average growth in employment. </li>
<li>Jun'24's 6.7%YoY decline in real NODX indicates real GDP growth for Q2CY24 will be revised down to 2.5%YoY (from the 2.9% advance estimate); strong re-exports also suggest manufacturing's declining competitiveness. </li>
<li>Fiscal policy has returned to its contractionary norm, with this year's surplus likely to be over 1% of GDP, reining-in RGDP growth to 2% for 2024 (and 1.3%YoY for H2CY24). </li>
</ul>


Productivity has declined 0.95%YoY on average over the latest 8 quarters, with Singapore's economic growth depending entirely on rather rapid 4.85%YoY average growth in employment. 
Jun'24's 6.7%YoY decline in real NODX indicates real GDP growth for Q2CY24 will be revised down to 2.5%YoY (from the 2.9% advance estimate); strong re-exports also suggest manufacturing's declining competitiveness. 
Fiscal policy has returned to its contractionary norm, with this year's surplus likely to be over 1% of GDP, reining-in RGDP growth to 2% for 2024 (and 1.3%YoY for H2CY24). 


FTSE Straits Times Index (STI) (STI INDEX)

Singapore: Signs of 'Dutch Disease' as Cyclical NODX Slumps Amid Property Surge