Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

A chartered management accountant with more than 10 years of rich experience in investment research and financial analysis. Worked as an equity analyst for one of the world's largest asset managers with USD2.5trn in AUM covering numerous sectors including chemicals, retail, tech, autos, telco, real-estate and banks, globally. Experienced in fundamental equity research, industry research, commodity studies, forensic accounting, and due diligence reviews.

Equity Analyst

Nihon M&A: Not Many Catalysts to Move the Stock Price Up

4Paradigm IPO: Thoughts on First Day Trading

Recruit 1Q: Earnings Further Slow Down; New Pricing Model Seems to Impact HR Tech Further

Recruit 4Q: Earnings Growth to Decline as Labour Markets Begin to Slowdown

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The job openings in the US declined to 8.827m in July 2023, marking the lowest since March 2021, and falling well below projected 9.465m job openings for the month.</li>
<li>On the other hand, web traffic on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/recruit-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15070:1" rel="noopener">Recruit Holdings (6098 JP)</a> ’s job platform Indeed has declined in July compared to June 2023 while it has improved slightly on Glassdoor.</li>
<li>HR Tech segment’s top line growth declined 9.1% YoY in 1QFY03/2024 and the company has shifted into a new pricing model which we think would further impact segment’s growth.</li>
</ul>


The job openings in the US declined to 8.827m in July 2023, marking the lowest since March 2021, and falling well below projected 9.465m job openings for the month.
On the other hand, web traffic on Recruit Holdings (6098 JP) ’s job platform Indeed has declined in July compared to June 2023 while it has improved slightly on Glassdoor.
HR Tech segment’s top line growth declined 9.1% YoY in 1QFY03/2024 and the company has shifted into a new pricing model which we think would further impact segment’s growth.


Recruit Holdings: Weakening Job Markets and New Pricing Model to Impact HR Tech Further