Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

HK Type 4 license through Ballingal Investment Advisors Ltd. ("BIA" or "BIAL")

BACKGROUND
I have 20+yrs experience in Asia doing alternative strategies (i.e. non-delta1 non long-only) in fixed income, equity derivatives, and activist/catalyst/event-driven and long-short equity strategies with most of that time spent managing money. 

4 years in fixed income macro, 8 years running internal hedge fund and 4yrs investment banking at Citi in Japan, 3 years running an Asia multi-strat portfolio at a hedge fund, 4+yrs as an independent special situations analyst.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Rakuten (4755 JP) - A Tricky Offering But Lots of Non-Fundamental Long Demand

Rakuten (4755) - TSE Neglects Its Ad Hoc Powers - Less Bigly Index But Biglier Non-Index

July TOPIX FFW Rebal - Bigger Than Expected

Japan's E-Commerce Wars: Rakuten Fighting Hard as Amazon Japan Becomes No. 2 Retailer

Japanese E-Commerce Big Review: Still Taking Market Share as Omnichannel Becomes the Norm

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Yesterday (15 May 2023) just before EOD, an article ran suggesting a ¥300bn capital raise by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten (4755 JP)</a>. The stock fell 10% in 10mins. Rakuten hemmed/hawed but didn't deny.</li>
<li>One day later, we have a deal. It is up to 546mm shares including greenshoe, which at the close was ¥333bn. 468mm shares to the public, 79mm to 3rd parties.</li>
<li>This increases Real World Float by 95%. In that respect this is vaguely IPO-ish. Investors have to re-underwrite. Then Passive re-shrinks the float. Details matter.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday (15 May 2023) just before EOD, an article ran suggesting a ¥300bn capital raise by Rakuten (4755 JP). The stock fell 10% in 10mins. Rakuten hemmed/hawed but didn't deny.
One day later, we have a deal. It is up to 546mm shares including greenshoe, which at the close was ¥333bn. 468mm shares to the public, 79mm to 3rd parties.
This increases Real World Float by 95%. In that respect this is vaguely IPO-ish. Investors have to re-underwrite. Then Passive re-shrinks the float. Details matter.


Rakuten (4755 JP) - A Big Deal With Very Interesting Characteristics - Index Matters