Chief Economist, Heteronomics

Phil Rush

Philip Rush is the Founder and Chief Economist of Heteronomics. Until launching in November 2016, he was Nomura's Senior European Economist and was the Chief UK Economist there since 2010. Before that, he was UK Economist at Barclays Wealth, where he also developed strategic asset allocation models for their market return portfolios. Philip started his career at Lehman Brothers covering the UK, Scandinavian and Swiss economies. A book on his fundamental framework was published in January 2018 as "Real Market Economics".

Chief Economist

FLASH: UK Inflation Grinds near Its Trough in Jan-19

UK Inflation: Devilish Detail Extending Trends

UK Inflation: Stable Before the Apr-19 Surge

FLASH: UK Inflation Falling Fast over 2018 Yearend

UK Preview: Disinflationary Date for Dec-18

FLASH: UK Nov-18 Inflation Slows as Expected

Heteronomics

Heteronomics represents a different kind of economics. We believe analysis should delve into the details of what is really going on, rather than using overly simplistic assumptions to quick-sell stories. Independence from myopic institutional pressures allows us to focus on the realities underlying your asset allocation decisions, without the conflicts of the old market structures. Heteronomics targets the themes driving UK asset prices, offering the benefits of depth, independence and ultimately price.

UK-centric macro research

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li><em>The imposition of a household energy price cap in the UK had a significant disinflationary effect in Jan-19 and lowered my CPI and RPI inflation forecasts to 1.9% and 2.5%.</em></li>
<li><em>These outcomes would be below the consensus again, although that is now the norm amid a heavy bias to surprises, especially relative to the RPI consensus.</em></li>
</ul>


The imposition of a household energy price cap in the UK had a significant disinflationary effect in Jan-19 and lowered my CPI and RPI inflation forecasts to 1.9% and 2.5%.
These outcomes would be below the consensus again, although that is now the norm amid a heavy bias to surprises, especially relative to the RPI consensus.


Preview: UK Disinflation Regulated for Jan-19