Chief Economist, Heteronomics

Phil Rush

Philip Rush is the Founder and Chief Economist of Heteronomics. Until launching in November 2016, he was Nomura's Senior European Economist and was the Chief UK Economist there since 2010. Before that, he was UK Economist at Barclays Wealth, where he also developed strategic asset allocation models for their market return portfolios. Philip started his career at Lehman Brothers covering the UK, Scandinavian and Swiss economies. A book on his fundamental framework was published in January 2018 as "Real Market Economics".

Chief Economist

UK Inflation: Devilish Detail Extending Trends

UK Inflation: Stable Before the Apr-19 Surge

UK Inflation: Apr-19 Surge Against Down-Trend

Preview: UK Disinflation Regulated for Jan-19

FLASH: UK Inflation Falling Fast over 2018 Yearend

UK Preview: Disinflationary Date for Dec-18

Heteronomics

Heteronomics represents a different kind of economics. We believe analysis should delve into the details of what is really going on, rather than using overly simplistic assumptions to quick-sell stories. Independence from myopic institutional pressures allows us to focus on the realities underlying your asset allocation decisions, without the conflicts of the old market structures. Heteronomics targets the themes driving UK asset prices, offering the benefits of depth, independence and ultimately price.

UK-centric macro research

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li><em>UK inflation disappointed consensus expectations in Jan-19 but was broadly in line with my forecasts at 2.5% on the RPI and 1.85% on the CPI.</em></li>
<li><em>The energy price cap was probably poorly accounted for, and it looks set to induce further volatility in the April and October prints.</em></li>
</ul>


UK inflation disappointed consensus expectations in Jan-19 but was broadly in line with my forecasts at 2.5% on the RPI and 1.85% on the CPI.
The energy price cap was probably poorly accounted for, and it looks set to induce further volatility in the April and October prints.


FLASH: UK Inflation Grinds near Its Trough in Jan-19