Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

United kingdom Industrials / Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p><em>Since the GFC, the global port operators have been under-performing the MSCI world index. The divergence has increased in the last 18 months and is now reaching an extreme. Does this make the sector a buy? We believe the industry dynamics are changing and the sector is pricing in  a structural slowdown in global trade. The growth industry has matured and is now more akin to valuations given to a utilities business i.e. P/E compression is in play despite still strong margins and earnings. We believe that ports sector on a macro basis is moving from a growth stock to a value stock which commands stable but lower P/E.  Wider implications for this would be the investor profile for the ports will change as more value investors get in and growth investors move away. We expect Chinese operators to get aggressive on M&amp;A and cheapest valuation in the sector in years on account of structural weakness to drive M&amp;A. </em></p>

Since the GFC, the global port operators have been under-performing the MSCI world index. The divergence has increased in the last 18 months and is now reaching an extreme. Does this make the sector a buy? We believe the industry dynamics are changing and the sector is pricing in  a structural slowdown in global trade. The growth industry has matured and is now more akin to valuations given to a utilities business i.e. P/E compression is in play despite still strong margins and earnings. We believe that ports sector on a macro basis is moving from a growth stock to a value stock which commands stable but lower P/E.  Wider implications for this would be the investor profile for the ports will change as more value investors get in and growth investors move away. We expect Chinese operators to get aggressive on M&amp;A and cheapest valuation in the sector in years on account of structural weakness to drive M&amp;A. 

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (3898 HK)

Shanghai Electric Group Company (601727 CH)

China Railway Construction Corp (1186 HK)

China Communications Construction (1800 HK)

Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology (002202 CH)

XCMG Construction Machinery A (000425 CH)

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK)

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H)

Shanghai Tunnel Engineering Co, Ltd. (600820 CH)

Cssc Offshore & Marine Engg Group (317 HK)

Shanghai International Airport (600009 CH)

Metallurgical Corporation Of China Ltd (601618 CH)

Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)

Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK)

Beijing Capital International Airport (BCIA) (694 HK)

Beijing Capital International Airport (BCIA)

Dongfang Electric Corporation (600875 CH)

China Avionics Systems Co., Ltd. (600372 CH)

China International Marine Cntnrs Gp (2039 HK)

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd (1618 HK)

Shanghai International Port Group (600018 CH)

AviChina Industry & Technology H (2357 HK)

Shanghai Construction Group Co, Ltd. (600170 CH)

Beijing Originwater Technology Co,Ltd. (300070 CH)

Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co., (300124 CH)

China National Chemical Engineering Company A (601117 CH)

China National Chemical Engineering Company A

China International Marine Containers A (000039 CH)

Yingkou Port Liability Co., Ltd A (600317 CH)

International Consolidated Airlines Group (IAG LN)

International Consolidated Airlines Group

International Distributions Services (IDS LN)

Port Operators - Valuations Downshift on Structural Changes