Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Being invited, I joined Sellside, i.e. JPMorgan, Nomura and Macquarie, totally around 9-10 years. Before that, I joined International Data Corp (https://www.idc.com/) to be the Asia Semiconductor analyst for nearly 2 years, and being invited to do personal lectures in TSMC, UMC, Samsung and etc. In my working experiences, I also had the chance to join Taiwanese panel company, AUO (2409.TT) and the buyside, Chinalife (2823.TT), totally for over 1 year.
I obtained MS degree from the Tsing-Hua University. Then I worked in the Taiwan Semiconductor companies for around 11 years. I had several US patents during my stay in the Semiconductor industry.

Being worked in the sellside and buyside, I deeply dived in the Greater China Semiconductor industry and directly covered some companies, like TSMC (2330.TT, TSM.US), UMC (2303.TT, UMC.US), Vanguard (5347.TT), ASE (3711.TT, ASX.US), SPIL (merged with ASE and delisted), KYEC ( 2449.TT), JCET (600584.CH), ASMPT (522.HK), GWC (6488.TT), WinSemi (3105.TT), Mediatek (2454.TT), Silergy (6415.TT), Novatek (3034.TT), Guoxin Micro (002049.CH) etc.

Novatek (3034.TT): To Utilizing on IPhone 16 DDIC Will Soon Be Largely Replaced by Korean Fabless.

Novatek (3034.TT): 4Q24 Revenue Downside of More than 10% QoQ.

Novatek (3034.TT): Rush Orders Received and Beneficial from Chinese Household Electronic Demand.

Novatek (3034.TT): 1Q24 Sales Inline; 2Q24F Sales Guidance Below Consensuses

Novatek (3034.TT): To Achieve a ~5% QoQ Growth in Revenue and Relatively Flat GM QoQ in 3Q24

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Equity Bottom-Up

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 3Q24 revenue is expected 10.5% higher than 2Q24, but the GM/OPG outlook will be 5.1%/3.6% lower because of pricing adjustments and limited NRE sales .  </li>
<li>Smartphone's demand will enter peak season with expected stockpiling for new models. Automotive inventory adjustment is needed due to muted demand.  </li>
<li>Dividend payout ratio has remained at 80-85% in recent years, with no major changes expected.</li>
</ul>


The 3Q24 revenue is expected 10.5% higher than 2Q24, but the GM/OPG outlook will be 5.1%/3.6% lower because of pricing adjustments and limited NRE sales .  
Smartphone's demand will enter peak season with expected stockpiling for new models. Automotive inventory adjustment is needed due to muted demand.  
Dividend payout ratio has remained at 80-85% in recent years, with no major changes expected.


Novatek (3034.TT): 3Q24 Guidance Slightly Weak in GM