Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

20 years of experience researching capital markets in Asia and the USA.

Managing Director, Zero One

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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nanya Tech shares have dropped, but there's still a 10% trading sell from these levels.</li>
<li>The company had dramatically outperformed the Taiwan market and Memory chip peers, yet is heading into weakening end-demand with inventory levels at multi-year highs.</li>
<li>We see the potential for inventory write-downs and a negative operating margin in the coming quarters. Meanwhile, opportunities for near-term good news appear limited.</li>
</ul>


Nanya Tech shares have dropped, but there's still a 10% trading sell from these levels.
The company had dramatically outperformed the Taiwan market and Memory chip peers, yet is heading into weakening end-demand with inventory levels at multi-year highs.
We see the potential for inventory write-downs and a negative operating margin in the coming quarters. Meanwhile, opportunities for near-term good news appear limited.


Nanya Technology: Inventory Risk, A 10% Downside Trade Is Still Available