Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

An equity research analyst with over 7 years of experience in multiple sectors. Previously worked for one of the world's largest asset managers with about USD2.5trn in AUM, covering small and micro-cap companies in the consumer sphere across Europe and developed Asia. Also experienced in covering multiple industries including banking, insurance and asset management, retail, tech, telco and REIT.

Equity Analyst

MonotaRO (3064 JP): Slowdown in the Price

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After surging past 20.0x consensus FY+2 EV/OP multiple in 2012-2013, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monotaro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15441:1" rel="noopener">MonotaRO Co Ltd (3064 JP)</a>’s consensus FY+2 EV/OP has fallen below 20.0x on one very rare occasion.</li>
<li>We see no major change in the fundamentals of MonotaRo aside from a temporary hike in Opex through concurrently running old and new distribution centres for the past 3 quarters.</li>
<li>Currently trading at 22.5x consensus FY+2 OP, we think this is a good opportunity to benefit from the company’s depressed valuation.</li>
</ul>


After surging past 20.0x consensus FY+2 EV/OP multiple in 2012-2013, MonotaRO Co Ltd (3064 JP)’s consensus FY+2 EV/OP has fallen below 20.0x on one very rare occasion.
We see no major change in the fundamentals of MonotaRo aside from a temporary hike in Opex through concurrently running old and new distribution centres for the past 3 quarters.
Currently trading at 22.5x consensus FY+2 OP, we think this is a good opportunity to benefit from the company’s depressed valuation.


MonotaRo: Hasn’t Been This Cheap For Quite a Long Time