Last Week in Event SPACE ...
EVENTS |
Sanyo Special Steel Co Ltd (5481 JP) (Mkt Cap: $853mn; Liquidity: $4.7mn)
We do not have a deal structure yet, and a deal is not expected to be announced for another 3.5 months. But that doesn't mean investors shouldn't start to get involved.
(link to Travis' insight: Sanyo Special Steel - A MISUNDERESTIMATED Tender Opportunity)
Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) (Mkt Cap: $17.5bn; Liquidity: $69.6mn)
Not unsurprisingly, news emerged earlier this week that Toshiba was considering stepping away from selling its memory business to Bain if Chinese antitrust approval is not approved by May 28th.
(link to Mio's insight: Toshiba: Tilting Towards IPO, Farallon Pops Up, but Will NAND Supply Demand Have the Last Laugh?)
Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS) (Mkt Cap: $32.5bn; Liquidity: $79mn)
On April 23rd, Elliott Advisors proposed a comprehensive list of corporate governance measures for the Hyundai Motor Group, including the cancellation of treasury shares and the conversion of the merged Hyundai Motor and Hyundai Mobis into a holding company and an operating company.
links to:
Douglas' insight: Elliott Advisors Proposes More Concrete Corporate Governance Measures for the Hyundai Motor Group
Sanghyun's insight: Elliott Factor on Hyundai Mobis - Status Update
Sanghyun's insight: Hyundai Motor Share Buyback/Cancellation Summary
Very, very briefly ...
Monex Group Inc (8698 JP) (Mkt Cap: $1.5bn; Liquidity: $230mn)
Monex’s shares are flying after completing the ¥3.6bn acquisition of Coincheck earlier this month. The purchase equated to roughly ¥13 per Monex share while the share price has increased ~¥300.
(link to Supun's insight: Monex Hits the “Daily Price Limit” for the Third Time in a Month)
Hyosung Corporation (004800 KS) (Mkt Cap: $4.1bn; Liquidity: $17.1mn)
On Friday, Hyosung's shareholders approved its restructuring plan to split itself into a holding company (Hyosung Corp) and four separate operating companies. Sustinvest is not sold on the restructuring. While some value-destroying activities will cease under the Holdco structure, which is positive for minority shareholders, the restructuring may not lead to greater alignment between controlling family interests and those of minority shareholders because some family-owned companies within and outside the Holdco structure remain.
(link to Sustinvest's insight: Hyosung's Restructuring - Not Enough to Address Deep-Rooted Governance Risks)
M&A |
Shire PLC (SHP LN) (Mkt Cap: $48.4bn; Liquidity: $185mn)
Shire announced the receipt of a revised (& fifth) proposal from Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (4502 JP) comprising 0.839 new Takeda shares and US$30.33 in cash for each Shire ordinary share. This proposal is equivalent to GBP49.00/share. The deal would give Shire shareholders 50% ownership of the enlarged Takeda and the new Takeda shares will be listed in Japan and in the US through an ADR program.
Westfield Corp (WFD AU) (Mkt Cap: $14.2bn; Liquidity: $48.5mn)
The shareholder vote on the merger with Unibail-Rodamco SE (UL FP) is scheduled for May 24. Apart from pricing, there are various factors to consider with respect to Westfield being a stapled entity, not least being CGT rollover relief only applies to the WCL shares, not the WFDT and WAT units.
(link to Morningstar's insight: Corporate Action: Westfield Security Holders to Vote Yes to Merger with Unibail-Rodamco)
MasterLink Securities Corp (2856 TT) (Mkt Cap: $600mn; Liquidity: $2.5mn)
Masterlink has announced it has entered into a share swap agreement with its largest shareholder Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) whereby Shin Kong will issue 0.96 shares for every share it does not own of MasterLink.
(link to Pranav's insight: MasterLink/SKFH: Filling a Gap)
Very, very briefly ...
Healthscope Ltd (HSO AU)(Mkt Cap: $3.1bn; Liquidity: $15.6mn)
Morningstar discussed the unsolicited offer by way of a scheme from a consortium (including BGH + five others) of A$2.36/share, representing a premium of 16% to the undisturbed price of A$2.03/share. Pranav recently discussed the likelihood of an offer in his insight Healthscope: Acquire. Re-List. Repeat? The offer is subject to, inter alia, due diligence, debt financing and necessary regulatory approvals. Morningstar's fair value is A$0.97.
(link to Morningstar's insight: Healthscope Receives Takeover Bid Validating Our FVE)
TMB Bank PCL (TMB TB) (Mkt Cap: $3.3bn; Liquidity: $18.5mn)
Thailand's Cabinet recently approved a plan to offer tax incentives to encourage commercial bank mergers, and Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA discussed the possibility of TMB and Krung Thai Bank Pub Co Ltd (KTB TB) joining forces. There's ample pushback on such a union. KTB may be lining up to acquire Islam Bank, which was recently bailed out by the government. And there's talk ING, TMB's 25% shareholder, is in two minds whether to increase or decrease its stake. Plus there are cultural difference between both banks - not that that was any roadblock to the last six bank mergers in Thailand.
(link to Athaporn's insight: Sathorn Series D: KTB + TMB = Thailand's New Banking Godzilla Yo!)
Englewood Lab (950140 KS) (Mkt Cap: $114mn; Liquidity: $1mn)
Douglas Kim discussed cosmetics ODM player Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS)'s acquisition of 6.89mn shares (or 34.71%) in Englewood for ₩57.8bn or ₩8,366/share. Douglas believes the acquisition is positive and also discussed other M&A deals in the Korean cosmetics industry in the past year.
(link to Douglas' insight: Korea M&A Highlight: Cosmecca Korea Acquires Englewood Lab)
Television Broadcasts Ltd (511 HK) (Mkt Cap: $1.4bn; Liquidity: $1.8mn)
Takeaways from my recent meeting with management: some subtle changes in the broadcasting ordinance are under discussion, potentially suggesting a relaxation of how foreign shareholders are assessed. That may help with the Communications Authority's final decision on TVB's shareholding structure. For now, TVB is more a fundamental story and there are signs earnings in its key broadcasting segments are stablising. A bigger story is whether TVB will reload the buyout (possibly). In the meantime, do not expect any special dividend over and above the prevailing EPS.
STUBS/HOLDCOS |
Jardine Cycle & Carriage Ltd (JCNC SP) (Mkt Cap: $10.3bn; Liquidity: $8.7mn)
Nicolas Van Broekhoven attended JCNC's AGM. Questions primarily focused on the Vietnam Dairy Products Jsc (VNM VN) investment and the disappointing earnings at Siam City Cement Pub Co Ltd (SCCC TB). My current discount to NAV is 17% vs. the 12-month average of 15%.
(link to Nicolas' insight: AGM Jardine Cycle & Carriage (JCNC SP): Lots of Questions on Vinamilk; 10% Stake Likely to Grow)
United Co Rusal Plc (486 HK) (Mkt Cap: $3.8bn; Liquidity: $20mn)
My CCASS analysis indicates 20.45% of Rusal has moved into Citibank from UBS. Only Oleg Deripaska (48.13%) and Viktor Vekselberg (26.5%) have positions this large. Interestingly, before Vekselberg acquired a 6% stake in Rusal from Mikhail Prokhorov in February this year, his stake was ~20.5%. Vekselberg is on the designated sanctions list from the US Treasury. I have a current discount to NAV of ~73% vs. a 12-month average of 34%.
Melco International Development Ltd (200 HK) (Mkt Cap: $5.7bn; Liquidity: $13.6mn)
My CCASS analysis indicates 15.03% of Melco has moved into UBS from VC Brokerage ( a Ho-affiliated broker). Presumably this is a portion of Lawrence Ho's 53.19% holding. I have a current discount to NAV of ~19% vs. a 12-month average of 25%.
CCASS |
My ongoing series flags large moves in CCASS holdings over the past week or so (~10%), moves which are often outside normal market transactions. These may be indicative of share pledges. Or potential takeovers.
Often these moves can easily be explained - the placement of new shares, rights issue, movements subsequent to a takeover, amongst others. For those bolded, I could not find an obvious reason for the CCASS move. Food Wise Holdings Ltd (1632 HK) is suspended after a takeover-code-related announcement last week. King Force Security Holdings Ltd (8315 HK) is also suspended.
Name | % change | Into | Out of | Comment |
75.00% | China Galaxy | KGI | Transfer to Main Board | |
16.36% | Emperor | Outside CCASS | ||
15.81% | CMB | Outside CCASS | ||
12.40% | Supreme | Outside CCASS | Placement | |
11.25% | BOCI | Outside CCASS | Definitely a takeover | |
75.00% | HF Sec | Outside CCASS | Float restoration | |
Hopewell Highway Infrastructure Ltd (737 HK) | 66.69% | Citic Sec | Outside CCASS | Close of offer |
United Strength Power Holdin (2337 HK) | 55.50% | UBS | Outside CCASS | |
King Force Security Holdings Ltd (8315 HK) | 20.67% | Emperor | Bank of China | Suspended |
Bison Finance Group Ltd (888 HK) | 10.39% | Dongxing | CCB | Placement |
New Wisdom Holding Co Ltd (8213 HK) | 52.14% | Kingston | Pacific Found | Takeover |
Huayi Tencent Entertainment (419 HK) | 15.68% | HSBC | Outside CCASS | |
Melco International Development Ltd (200 HK) | 15.03% | UBS | VC Brokerage | |
Nexion Technologies Ltd (8420 HK) | 11.25% | Aristo | Outside CCASS | |
Tai United Holdings Limited (718 HK) | 10.48% | Enhanced | Haitong | Close of offer |
SHIS Ltd (1647 HK) | 50.12% | Kingston | Outside CCASS | |
SHIS Ltd (1647 HK) | 22.16% | SHK | Outside CCASS | |
Future World Financial Holdi (572 HK) | 17.28% | Central Wealth | Outside CCASS | |
China Lotsynergy Hldg Ltd (1371 HK) | 11.86% | Oceanwide | Outside CCASS | Placement |
Aurum Pacific (8148 HK) | 11.45% | Emperor | Outside CCASS | Placement |
Tianjin Tianbao Energy Co Ltd (1671 HK) | 21.39% | Orient | New listing | |
United Co Rusal Plc (486 HK) | 20.45% | Citibank | UBS | Access Al's stake? |
Shaanxi Northwest New Technology Ind. Co (8258 HK) | 16.62% | Core Pacific | Outside CCASS | |
Grand T G Gold Holdings Ltd (8299 HK) | 13.05% | Freeman | China Sky |
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