Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

An equity research analyst with over 7 years of experience in multiple sectors. Previously worked for one of the world's largest asset managers with about USD2.5trn in AUM, covering small and micro-cap companies in the consumer sphere across Europe and developed Asia. Also experienced in covering multiple industries including banking, insurance and asset management, retail, tech, telco and REIT.

Equity Analyst

Kirin's Bid for Blackmores: Leveraging Regulatory Expertise to Enter China's Supplement Market

Kirin Sells The Myanmar JV to MEHL: Not a Fair Valuation But Getting At Least Some Money Is a Bonus

Kirin: Holdco Trade Has More Room to Run, Also Outright Attractive

Kirin: With Myanmar in the Rear-View Mirror, an Additional 30% Upside Is Quite Possible

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Consensus has dismissed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kirin-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16977:1" rel="noopener">Kirin Holdings (2503 JP)</a>’s revised revenue and OP guidance by maintaining consensus 2022 revenue and OP estimates at ¥1,970bn and ¥149.8bn respectively.</li>
<li>With the yen depreciating by an additional 5-15%, domestic business outperforming expectations and raw material prices falling, we expect another raise to Kirin’s annual guidance in 3Q22.</li>
<li>We think a second upgrade to 2022 guidance can turn consensus from pessimism to optimism.</li>
</ul>


Consensus has dismissed Kirin Holdings (2503 JP)’s revised revenue and OP guidance by maintaining consensus 2022 revenue and OP estimates at ¥1,970bn and ¥149.8bn respectively.
With the yen depreciating by an additional 5-15%, domestic business outperforming expectations and raw material prices falling, we expect another raise to Kirin’s annual guidance in 3Q22.
We think a second upgrade to 2022 guidance can turn consensus from pessimism to optimism.


Kirin: Another Beat Could Turn Consensus from Pessimism into Optimism