Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

HK Type 4 license through Ballingal Investment Advisors Ltd. ("BIA" or "BIAL")

BACKGROUND
I have 20+yrs experience in Asia doing alternative strategies (i.e. non-delta1 non long-only) in fixed income, equity derivatives, and activist/catalyst/event-driven and long-short equity strategies with most of that time spent managing money. 

4 years in fixed income macro, 8 years running internal hedge fund and 4yrs investment banking at Citi in Japan, 3 years running an Asia multi-strat portfolio at a hedge fund, 4+yrs as an independent special situations analyst.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Two Days Left Til Nikkei 225 Juggled Review Starts

About A Gajillion Yen of Index Flows At the Close

Nikkei 225 Sep22 Annual Review; Data Final, Predictions Unch'd; Strategy Involved

Hoya – Getting Towards Genuinely Bullish Levels of Cheapness

Nikkei 225 Sep Annual Review Predictions - 3 In, 3 Out

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hoya-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8990:1" rel="noopener">Hoya Corp (7741 JP)</a> today announced great Q1 earnings and a bullish above-consensus revenue forecast for this fiscal year. It also announced a small share buyback. </li>
<li>However, the dominant factor in flows near-term will be pre-positioning for a possible Nikkei 225 inclusion in September. That is what will push the stock around. In or not. </li>
<li>Hoya has recently outperformed a Peer Basket despite forward expected EPS and EBIT not seeing relative improvement. That suggests some relative risk if it doesn't get selected for Nikkei 225.</li>
</ul>



Hoya Corp (7741 JP) today announced great Q1 earnings and a bullish above-consensus revenue forecast for this fiscal year. It also announced a small share buyback. 
However, the dominant factor in flows near-term will be pre-positioning for a possible Nikkei 225 inclusion in September. That is what will push the stock around. In or not. 
Hoya has recently outperformed a Peer Basket despite forward expected EPS and EBIT not seeing relative improvement. That suggests some relative risk if it doesn't get selected for Nikkei 225.


Hoya (7741) - Record Revenues/Earnings, a Small Buyback, but Nikkei 225 Flows May Dominate