China and US Equity Analyst

Roger Xie

10 year investment experience on public and private equity. Deep-dive fundamental research. Specialize in China and US market.

China Equity Strategy: Domestic Funds Rush to Deploy Capital in Hong Kong Market

China Asset Management: Record-High AUM and User Growth, Set to Expand Further in 2021

HKEx (388.HK): Trading Activities Accelerate to Year End

Conclusions of the Corporate WVR Consultation: Small Changes for Now

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Equity Bottom-Up

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> December ADT (Average Daily Turnover) re-accelerated strongly, delivering amazing 86% year-over-year growth in the month. The outperformance is helped by the rising global equity markets and strong IPO listings in Hong Kong. For the year 2020, HKEx ADT has accelerated the year-over-year growth rate to 49%, which is one the best trading volume years recently. In 2020, HKEx stock price rose 68%, outperforming Hang Seng Index down 3%. We believe HKEx momentum will continue in 2021.</li>
<li>We maintain our sanguine view on trading activities and IPO pipeline in Hong Kong market in 2021. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> will benefit from this secular trend in several ways: 1) Hong Kong market becomes de facto choice for China new economy companies for IPO and fund raising; 2) HKEx Northbound trading has become an increasing important factor as the gateway to invest in China A-share; 3) MSCI index products will continue to gain market share. We forecast Securities ADT of HK$240bn in FY 21 (Hong Kong and Stock Connect Northbound) and raise HKEx TP HKD 500. </li>
<li>HKEx announced that Calvin Tai Chi Kin has replaced Charles Li Xiaojia as its new interim Chief Executive, effective from 1st January 2021. Calvin Tai Chi Kin, a financial industry veteran, has been named HKEx' Interim CEO since last September. He will take over Charles Li Xiaojia’s responsibilities and continue his role as Co-President and Chief Operating Officer of HKEx. <p>Calvin brings a wealth of experience of more than thirty-five years to his new position. According to the media, several candidates have been considered by HKEx, but the final decision on HKEx CEO has not been reached. </p>
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HKEX (388 HK) December ADT (Average Daily Turnover) re-accelerated strongly, delivering amazing 86% year-over-year growth in the month. The outperformance is helped by the rising global equity markets and strong IPO listings in Hong Kong. For the year 2020, HKEx ADT has accelerated the year-over-year growth rate to 49%, which is one the best trading volume years recently. In 2020, HKEx stock price rose 68%, outperforming Hang Seng Index down 3%. We believe HKEx momentum will continue in 2021.
We maintain our sanguine view on trading activities and IPO pipeline in Hong Kong market in 2021. HKEX (388 HK) will benefit from this secular trend in several ways: 1) Hong Kong market becomes de facto choice for China new economy companies for IPO and fund raising; 2) HKEx Northbound trading has become an increasing important factor as the gateway to invest in China A-share; 3) MSCI index products will continue to gain market share. We forecast Securities ADT of HK$240bn in FY 21 (Hong Kong and Stock Connect Northbound) and raise HKEx TP HKD 500. 
HKEx announced that Calvin Tai Chi Kin has replaced Charles Li Xiaojia as its new interim Chief Executive, effective from 1st January 2021. Calvin Tai Chi Kin, a financial industry veteran, has been named HKEx' Interim CEO since last September. He will take over Charles Li Xiaojia’s responsibilities and continue his role as Co-President and Chief Operating Officer of HKEx. Calvin brings a wealth of experience of more than thirty-five years to his new position. According to the media, several candidates have been considered by HKEx, but the final decision on HKEx CEO has not been reached. 



HKEx (388.HK): A Blockbuster Year 2020; Becoming Regional Leader in Years Ahead; Raise TP to HK$500