Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst, Pennock Idea Hub

Cam Hui

Cam Hui has been professionally involved in the financial markets since 1985 in a variety of roles, both as a quantitative equity portfolio manager and as a sell-side analyst. He graduated with a degree in Computer Science from the University of British Columbia in 1980 and obtained his CFA Charter in 1989.

Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst

Pennock Idea Hub

We are creators of independent equity research. The Pennock Idea Hub team are veterans of the investment industry. Much of our team has spent their careers at Merrill Lynch, Deutsche Bank, RBC Capital Markets and Wood Gundy. We have taken every aspect of research back to the studs and returned to first principles. The Pennock Idea Hub marries the interests of the sell and buy side. 

We offer the best research for institutional investors by:

-Only publishing research from veteran analysts
-Eliminate the inherent conflicts of the traditional sell and buy side relationship
-Ensure our team is always accessible; collaboration with clients nurtures our collective success

Cross-Asset & Quantitative Research

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Our base-case scenario is that this is a bear market rally and the March lows are not the lows of the bear cycle.</li>
<li>The alternative scenario is the U.S. economy sidesteps a recession next year. If the market doesn’t weaken to a new low by early Q4 2022, the bottom is in.</li>
<li>. We assign a 60–70% probability to the bear market rally scenario and a 30–40% chance of a soft landing.</li>
</ul>


Our base-case scenario is that this is a bear market rally and the March lows are not the lows of the bear cycle.
The alternative scenario is the U.S. economy sidesteps a recession next year. If the market doesn’t weaken to a new low by early Q4 2022, the bottom is in.
. We assign a 60–70% probability to the bear market rally scenario and a 30–40% chance of a soft landing.


Green Shoots = Time to Bottom Fish?