Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

A chartered management accountant with more than 10 years of rich experience in investment research and financial analysis. Worked as an equity analyst for one of the world's largest asset managers with USD2.5trn in AUM covering numerous sectors including chemicals, retail, tech, autos, telco, real-estate and banks, globally. Experienced in fundamental equity research, industry research, commodity studies, forensic accounting, and due diligence reviews.

Equity Analyst

[Grab Holdings (GRAB US) Target Price Change]: Positive on Profit Growth, Cut TP for Slower GMV

GoTo: Ambitious Profit Target to Further Stall Growth

TME: Social Entertainment Losing Its Importance with Top Line Growth Keep Declining

Techtronic Industries: Jehoshaphat Research’s Allegations and Our Assessment

GoTo Accelerates Profitability Timeline but We Are Not Yet Convinced

Grab: Almost No Price Reaction to a So-Called Strong Set of Results as There Is Much to Prove

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Grab reported 4Q2022 results yesterday. Q4 revenue more than quadrupled to $502m (vs consensus $403.48) while reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $111m (vs consensus $137m) vs $305m in 4Q2021.</li>
<li>Deliveries business went on to report positive adjusted EBITDA driven by improvement in take rate coupled with reduction in total incentives.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab Holdings (GRAB US)</a> share price dropped 8.29% at the end of yesterday’s trade despite the company accelerating its profit timeline to breakeven in 4Q2023 vs 2H2024 previously.</li>
</ul>


Grab reported 4Q2022 results yesterday. Q4 revenue more than quadrupled to $502m (vs consensus $403.48) while reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $111m (vs consensus $137m) vs $305m in 4Q2021.
Deliveries business went on to report positive adjusted EBITDA driven by improvement in take rate coupled with reduction in total incentives.

Grab Holdings (GRAB US) share price dropped 8.29% at the end of yesterday’s trade despite the company accelerating its profit timeline to breakeven in 4Q2023 vs 2H2024 previously.


Grab Follows Suit with GoTo and Accelerates Profitability Timeline