Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC, a CTA based in Austin, Texas (USA), where I developed and ran automated algorithmic trading strategies for the US Futures and Options markets. 

My work is focused on the statistical study of the "persistence of trends" and "mean reversion" effects in global Equities, Futures, Indexes, Bonds and FX Spot markets. I make extensive use of probabilistic Bayesian models to predict short-term (1 day to few weeks) trend reversals.

I do not use any AI/machine learning processes in my work: all models and algorithms are built by humans. This approach is very labour-intensive but produces forecasts that have a clearly understandable/explainable rationale (no black-boxes).

Quantitative Researcher

Gold’s Record Rally Meets Resistance: Will USD 3,000 Be the Breaking Point?

How high gold prices are fueling a chocolate shortage

[Precious Insights 2025/09] Gold Miners Surge Amid Market Volatility, Protective Pisitioning Builds

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22870:1" rel="noopener">Gold (GOLD COMDTY)</a> has been rallying up without stop for the past 13 weeks (only pause was a 1 week pullback at the end of February).</li>
<li>The commodity looks overbought WEEKLY according to our tactical model, <strong>there is a chance that it will pullback this week or the next</strong> (although it <em>could</em> rally for longer...).</li>
<li>Several players are buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22870:1" rel="noopener">Gold (GOLD COMDTY)</a> and we do not see any sharp pullback on the horizon, obviously, any pullback is a BUY opportunity. We'll discuss where to buy.</li>
</ul>



Gold (GOLD COMDTY) has been rallying up without stop for the past 13 weeks (only pause was a 1 week pullback at the end of February).
The commodity looks overbought WEEKLY according to our tactical model, there is a chance that it will pullback this week or the next (although it could rally for longer...).
Several players are buying Gold (GOLD COMDTY) and we do not see any sharp pullback on the horizon, obviously, any pullback is a BUY opportunity. We'll discuss where to buy.


Gold's Tactical Outlook and Profit Targets: Currently Peaking, But Pullback Is a Buy Opportunity