FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Greg has had a long career in foreign exchange, beginning at the Reserve Bank of Australia in 1989.  He was the first economics graduate at the Bank to be assigned to the foreign exchange dealing desk. Greg learnt from highly respected stewards of policy and market development at the Bank.  He played a leading role in establishing the Bank’s approach to asset and currency management of its international reserves, and managed the Bank's Japanese bond portfolio for a year before joining the private sector in 1995.

In October 2015, Greg launched his own FX research company, Amplifying Global FX Capital, after completing duties at the Royal Bank of Scotland in Singapore where he was the Head of Asia Pacific Markets Strategy since February 2014.  His flagship  report (AmpGFX) is available here on SmartKarma.

He has maintained a trading track record since March 2013. The results are very good over this period. There have been significant macro developments that suit his approach to markets. He is now managing his own capital and will often have positions in the markets that he is writing about in his AmpGFX report.

For a detailed biography and trading performance analysis head to the ampGFXcapital.com website.

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

FX & Rates

Global markets are moving in a classic risk-on fashion so far this week, despite the political upheaval in Italy.  Even Italian bonds and bank share prices are relatively stable. Low-yielding safe-havens, JPY, and gold, are weak. And capital appears on the move back to higher yielding and growth leveraged emerging markets and commodities, including their currencies.  EUR has rejected the test of its lows in in the 1.05s and appears resolved for the near term at least to find its way further back into its stable 1.05/1.15 range over the last two years.  The big sell-off over the last month in JPY and global bonds has lost momentum, and they are shifting into a slower moving consolidation.  The rush of funds into the USD after the Trump election appears to have run its course for now, and may now be spilling back into emerging market and commodity currencies. The November PMI surveys for manufacturing and services sectors showed further modest improvement with uniform performance in major economies.  Emerging market PMIs dipped led by deterioration in India related to its poorly implemented currency redenomination that has disrupted the overall economy.  However, Russian and Chinese PMI data retained improving trends.  India’s economy might be expected to rebound.  The improving trend in PMIs is consistent with the stronger trend in commodity prices.  Equity, bond and commodity markets are behaving in a manner compatible with more robust global growth led by infrastructure spending. There has been a rotation out of fixed income and stable income equities towards high beta equities, particularly, energy, materials, and financials.  We continue to see the USD supported by rising inflation pressure in the USA.  However, position squaring and improving global growth indicators may help commodity and EM currencies in the near term.

Global markets are moving in a classic risk-on fashion so far this week, despite the political upheaval in Italy.  Even Italian bonds and bank share prices are relatively stable. Low-yielding safe-havens, JPY, and gold, are weak. And capital appears on the move back to higher yielding and growth leveraged emerging markets and commodities, including their currencies.  EUR has rejected the test of its lows in in the 1.05s and appears resolved for the near term at least to find its way further back into its stable 1.05/1.15 range over the last two years.  The big sell-off over the last month in JPY and global bonds has lost momentum, and they are shifting into a slower moving consolidation.  The rush of funds into the USD after the Trump election appears to have run its course for now, and may now be spilling back into emerging market and commodity currencies. The November PMI surveys for manufacturing and services sectors showed further modest improvement with uniform performance in major economies.  Emerging market PMIs dipped led by deterioration in India related to its poorly implemented currency redenomination that has disrupted the overall economy.  However, Russian and Chinese PMI data retained improving trends.  India’s economy might be expected to rebound.  The improving trend in PMIs is consistent with the stronger trend in commodity prices.  Equity, bond and commodity markets are behaving in a manner compatible with more robust global growth led by infrastructure spending. There has been a rotation out of fixed income and stable income equities towards high beta equities, particularly, energy, materials, and financials.  We continue to see the USD supported by rising inflation pressure in the USA.  However, position squaring and improving global growth indicators may help commodity and EM currencies in the near term. 

Global Confidence Overcomes Italian Uncertainty