Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The central bank outlook looks surprisingly uniform as the market has homed in on June as the first timing for the cutting cycle from most major central banks (except the BoJ).</li><li>Markets feel certain that the SNB and the ECB cuts in June (we agree), but Fed, RBA, BOC and BoE pricing is closing on 50/50 calls after a series of sticky inflation numbers from North America.</li><li>The Fed is priced hawkishly relative to the 75bps dot plot for 2024, while the ECB is the most dovish central bank in forward pricing for 2024 but yet falls short of the 100bps hinted by the Greek member Stournaras last week.</li></ul>

The central bank outlook looks surprisingly uniform as the market has homed in on June as the first timing for the cutting cycle from most major central banks (except the BoJ).Markets feel certain that the SNB and the ECB cuts in June (we agree), but Fed, RBA, BOC and BoE pricing is closing on 50/50 calls after a series of sticky inflation numbers from North America.The Fed is priced hawkishly relative to the 75bps dot plot for 2024, while the ECB is the most dovish central bank in forward pricing for 2024 but yet falls short of the 100bps hinted by the Greek member Stournaras last week.

G5 Rates Watch: Mirror mirror on the wall, who’s the biggest interest rate cutter of them all?