Fixed Income and Currency Strategist

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Gautam Jain has over 25 years of experience covering global emerging fixed income and currency markets, both as a strategist and a portfolio manager. He has worked in buy-side and sell-side firms, including The Rohatyn Group (TRG Management), Barclays Capital, and Millennium Partners. He has helped manage emerging markets local-currency and hard-currency debt funds. The assets that he covers include currencies, interest rates, sovereign credits, and related derivatives. He specializes in portfolio construction, smart-beta index creation, and asset allocation. Mr. Jain holds a Ph.D. in Operations Research from Columbia University and is a CFA charter holder.

FX Dashboard: EM Currencies Vs Commodities

FX Dashboard: Brazilian Real Is a Bellwether for EM

FX Dashboard: Russian Ruble Lagging Oil Rally

FX Dashboard: Explaining Lira's Outperformance

FX Dashboard: Asian Vs LatAm Currencies During the Pandemic

FX & Rates

<p>In this note, we postulate that the Turkish lira (TRY) is almost entirely an idiosyncratic play currently.</p><p>The attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market. The analysis, therefore, is not a forecasting tool but to be used for identifying dislocations, which we loosely define as price moves that cannot be justified by fundamentals.</p>

In this note, we postulate that the Turkish lira (TRY) is almost entirely an idiosyncratic play currently.The attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market. The analysis, therefore, is not a forecasting tool but to be used for identifying dislocations, which we loosely define as price moves that cannot be justified by fundamentals.

FX Dashboard: Lira Is an Idiosyncratic Play

Dollar Index

FX Dashboard: Lira Is an Idiosyncratic Play