bullish

Fed's Transient Inflation Thesis Facing Numerous Tests as Role of Excess Demand Downplayed

307 Views27 Nov 2021 06:09
SUMMARY
  • The Fed's transient inflation thesis hinges on temporary supply dislocations, but hitherto little attention has been paid to the issue of persistent excessive aggregate demand.
  • US industrial production and imports have fully and very quickly recovery from the recession relative to history, thereby casting doubts about a completely inadequate domestic recovery in aggregate supply.
  • Global supply chains struggle to cope with the US recovery due to shortages and strong demand, while pipeline PPI and housing suggest inflation could remain stubbornly high.
Begin exploring Smartkarma's AI-augmented investing intelligence platform with a complimentary Preview Pass to:
  • Unlock research summaries
  • Follow top, independent analysts
  • Receive personalised alerts
  • Access Analytics, Events and more

Join 55,000+ investors, including top global asset managers overseeing $13+ trillion.

Upgrade later to our paid plans for full-access.

or
Already have an account? Sign In Now
Discussions
(Paid Plans Only)
x