bearish

Fed Policy Outlook: US Stagflation Fears Come Full Circle

360 Views26 Feb 2023 17:14
SUMMARY
  • Fears about persistent inflation and stagflation have come full circle and returned to financial markets due to insufficient Fed tightening as measured by real interest rates.
  • Service sector price increases have replaced commodities as the main driver of inflation, thereby presenting the Fed with a big challenge due to their greater importance in the economy.
  • Adjustment to the Fed's policy framework is required due to the resilience of the real economy to policy tightening. A higher terminal level of the federal funds rate is required.
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