Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

An equity research analyst with over 7 years of experience in multiple sectors. Previously worked for one of the world's largest asset managers with about USD2.5trn in AUM, covering small and micro-cap companies in the consumer sphere across Europe and developed Asia. Also experienced in covering multiple industries including banking, insurance and asset management, retail, tech, telco and REIT.

Equity Analyst

Fast Retailing – The New Medium-Term Plan For Europe Is As Ambitious As The North America Plan

Fast Retailing: Another Beat Would Suggest That FR’s North America & Europe Expansion Is Viable

Fast Retailing: Growth Markets Look Weak & Uniqlo Japan Profitability Affected By Rising Wages

Fast Retailing: The Fast Retailing to Topix Ratio Hitting Resistance Near The Pre-COVID Peak

Fast Retailing: Guidance Upgraded, Yet The Upside Seems Limited Due to Stretched Valuations

Fast Retailing – Downside Risk Mounts as Xinjiang Cotton Controversy Takes Centre Stage Yet Again

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Although we are not expecting a major miss for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> in FQ4, we believe FY23 guidance could be disappointing to prompt a substantial correction in FY23 consensus.</li>
<li>China is continuously failing to live up to the company’s expectations and the only factors holding Uniqlo’s share price from breaking-down are the North America growth and the Yen depreciation.</li>
<li>Those too are now under threat, with a looming recession and Fed rate hikes failing to curb inflation.</li>
</ul>


Although we are not expecting a major miss for Fast Retailing (9983 JP) in FQ4, we believe FY23 guidance could be disappointing to prompt a substantial correction in FY23 consensus.
China is continuously failing to live up to the company’s expectations and the only factors holding Uniqlo’s share price from breaking-down are the North America growth and the Yen depreciation.
Those too are now under threat, with a looming recession and Fed rate hikes failing to curb inflation.


Fast Retailing – FY23 Guidance Could Knock Some Sense into Market