Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

I have been working for +17 years as a quantitative researcher, offering my investment research insights to investors through two private companies I have founded (Retracement Levels Ltd. and QUANTRADING AG); more recently I worked as a Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC, a CTA based in Austin, Texas (USA), where I developed and ran automated algorithmic trading strategies for the US Futures and Options markets. 

My research work is focused on the statistical study of the "persistence of trends" and "mean reversion" effects in global Equities, Futures, Indexes, Bonds and FX Spot markets. I have created an original proprietary process (called the "Market Reversal Matrix" or "MRM") that makes extensive use of probabilistic Bayesian models to predict short-term (1 day to few weeks) trend reversals.

I do not use any AI/machine learning processes in my work: all models and algorithms are built and supervised by humans. This approach is very labour-intensive but produces forecasts that have a clearly understandable/explainable rationale (no black-boxes).

Quantitative Researcher

EQD | KOSPI 200 WEEKLY Bounce: Rally or Not?

EQD | The KOSPI 200 Is Ready to Pullback (Again)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> is currently pulling back for a 2nd week in a row.</li>
<li>This could be an opportunity to go LONG,  if the pullback is limited to this (or at most the next) week closing down and reaching targets between 365 and 338.</li>
<li>If the index goes down for 3 weeks and reached below 343 caution is advised: the pullback may be larger than expected in that case.</li>
</ul>


The KOSPI 200 INDEX is currently pulling back for a 2nd week in a row.
This could be an opportunity to go LONG,  if the pullback is limited to this (or at most the next) week closing down and reaching targets between 365 and 338.
If the index goes down for 3 weeks and reached below 343 caution is advised: the pullback may be larger than expected in that case.


EQD | KOSPI 200 WEEKLY Buy-The-Dip Opportunity