Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

I have been working for +17 years as a quantitative researcher, offering my investment research insights to investors through two private companies I have founded (Retracement Levels Ltd. and QUANTRADING AG); more recently I worked as a Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC, a CTA based in Austin, Texas (USA), where I developed and ran automated algorithmic trading strategies for the US Futures and Options markets. 

My research work is focused on the statistical study of the "persistence of trends" and "mean reversion" effects in global Equities, Futures, Indexes, Bonds and FX Spot markets. I have created an original proprietary process (called the "Market Reversal Matrix" or "MRM") that makes extensive use of probabilistic Bayesian models to predict short-term (1 day to few weeks) trend reversals.

I do not use any AI/machine learning processes in my work: all models and algorithms are built and supervised by humans. This approach is very labour-intensive but produces forecasts that have a clearly understandable/explainable rationale (no black-boxes).

Quantitative Researcher

EQD | A Very Weak KOSPI 200 Is Ready to Pull Back Again

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> has corrected for 3 weeks in a row, reaching a low at 340.08 last week. It is <strong>WEEKLY OVERSOLD</strong>, according to our models.</li>
<li>In a previous insight we theorized the index could go higher (but only for 1 week), however the rally never materialized. From there it went downhill, now it can bounce.</li>
<li>The support area between the last Close and 320 offers strong support, according to our WEEKLY pattern models.  </li>
</ul>


The KOSPI 200 has corrected for 3 weeks in a row, reaching a low at 340.08 last week. It is WEEKLY OVERSOLD, according to our models.
In a previous insight we theorized the index could go higher (but only for 1 week), however the rally never materialized. From there it went downhill, now it can bounce.
The support area between the last Close and 320 offers strong support, according to our WEEKLY pattern models.  


EQD | KOSPI 200 OVERSOLD, It Could Bounce This Week