bullish

ECM Weekly (2 March 2019) - Futu, Tiger Brokers, China Risun, China Tobacco, Zhejiang New Century

641 Views02 Mar 2019 17:50
SUMMARY

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by Smartkarma Insight Providers recently, along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

ECM activity seems to be picking up as we get more information on upcoming large IPOs in Hong Kong and the US.

Starting with Hong Kong, there are a handful of small ongoing IPOs such as Yincheng International Holdings (1902 HK), China Risun (1907 HK), and Zhejiang New Century Hotel Management Group (1158 HK). Yincheng, a small and highly levered property developer, will list next week on the 7th of March.

But, the upcoming IPOs are the ones that seem to be more exciting with the HKEX filing of ESR Cayman's draft prospectus. The company is a logistics real estate developer backed by Warburg Pincus and was said to be seeking US$1.5bn in its IPO. There are also Global Switch and OneConnect which seemed to be one step closer to their IPO.

In the US, we are finally getting approvals after the government shutdown starting with the Tencent-backed Futu Holdings Ltd (FHL US) launching its IPO and it will be listing on the 8th of March.

Jumping on the broker IPO bandwagon, Jim Rogers-backed Up Fintech (TIGR US) has also filed with the SEC. Sumeet Singh had already compared the two companies in his note, Futu Holdings IPO Quick Note - Comparison with Tiger Brokers - Same Market, Different Economics.

There are also news reports that Luckin Coffee, a Starbucks competitor in China, has already tapped three banks for its US IPO.

Accuracy Rate:

Our overall accuracy rate is 72.2% for IPOs and 63.7% for Placements

(Performance measurement criteria is explained at the end of the note)

New IPO filings

  • ESR Cayman (Hong Kong, ~US$1.5bn)
  • Jinshang Bank (Hong Kong, ~US$500m)
  • China Everbright Water (Hong Kong, >US$100m, dual-listing)
  • Up Fintech/Tiger Brokers (the US, >US$100m)

Below is a snippet of our IPO tool showing upcoming events for the next week. The IPO tool is designed to provide readers with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the deals that we have worked on. You can access the tool here or through the tools menu.

Source: Aequitas Research, Smartkarma

News on Upcoming IPOs

Smartkarma Community's this week Analysis on Upcoming IPO

NameInsight
Hong Kong
AB InbevAb InBev Asia Pre-IPO - A Brief History of the Asia Pacific Operations - Eeking Out Growth in China
AscentageAscentage Pharma (亚盛医药) IPO: Too Early for an IPO
Ant FinancialAnt Financial IPO Early Thought: Understand Fintech Empire, Growth & Risk Factors
BitmainBitmain IPO Preview: The Last Hurrah Before Reality Bites
BitmainBitmain IPO Preview (Part 2) - King of Cryptocurrency Mining Rigs but Its Moat Is Shrinking
BitmainBitmain: A Counter Thesis
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Running Out of Steam on Mining Rigs (Part 1)
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Value At Risk of Founder's Belief (Part 2)
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Take-Aways from Founder's Recent Speech at Tsinghua University (Part 3)
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Intense Competition in the 7nm Mining ASIC Market (Part 4)
ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: How Jinri Toutiao Paves The Way for a Bigger Empire (Part 1)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: Tiktok the No.1 Short Video App for a Good Reason (Part 2)

China East EduChina East Education (中国东方教育) Pre-IPO - The Company Known for Its Culinary School
China TobacChina Tobacco International (IPO): The Monopolist Will Not Recover
China TobacChina Tobacco International IPO: Heavy Regulation, Declining Margins – A Bit Late to IPO Party
China TobacChina Tobacco Intl (HK) IPO: Proxy For the Chinese Cigarette Consumption
Frontage

Frontage Holding (方达控股) IPO: More Disclosure Needed to Understand Moat and Growth Prospect

Hujiang Edu

Hujiang Education (沪江教育) Pre-IPO - Spending More than It Earns

MicuRxMicuRx Pharma (盟科医药) IPO: Betting on Single Drug in the Not so Attractive Antibiotic Segment
SH Henlius

Shanghai Henlius (复宏汉霖) IPO: Not an Impressive Biosimilar Portfolio

SH Henlius

HLX02: Innovation Could Overtake

TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO - Performing Better than Qeeka but Growing Much Slower, US$1bn a Stretch
TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO - Online -> Online + Offline -> Online -> ?
Viva BioViva Biotech (维亚生物) IPO: When CRO Becomes Early Stage Biotech Investor
South Korea
Ecopro BMEcopro BM IPO Preview: The World's #2 Player in the NCA High Nickel-Based Cathode Materials
Ecopro BMEcopro BM IPO: Valuation Analysis
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 1) - Highly Profitable Operator of Public Golf Courses in Korea
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 2) - Valuation Analysis
HomeplusHomeplus REIT IPO - The Largest Ever REIT IPO in Korea
Hyundai AutoeverHyundai Autoever IPO Preview
Hyundai AutoeverHyundai Autoever IPO Pricing: Likely to Be a Dull Event Given No Growth Story & Glovis Merger
Plakor

Plakor IPO Preview (Part 1)

ZinusZinus IPO Preview (Part 1) - An Amazing Comeback Story (#1 Mattress Brand on Amazon)
India
Anmol IndAnmol Industries Pre-IPO Quick Take - No Growth, Generous Payments to Founders
Bharat Hotels

Bharat Hotels Pre-IPO - Catching up with Peers

CMS InfoCMS Info Systems Pre-IPO Review - When a PE Sells to Another PE... Only One Gets the Timing Right
Crystal CropCrystal Crop Protection Pre-IPO - DRHP Raises More Questions than in Answers
Embassy REITEmbassy Office Parks REIT - Good Assets but Projections Might Be a Tad Too Bullish
Flemingo Flemingo Travel Retail Pre-IPO - Its a Different Business in Every Country
NSENSE IPO Preview- Not Only Fast..its Risky and Expensive
NSENational Stock Exchange Pre-IPO Review - Bigger, Better, Stronger but a Little Too Fast for Some
Mazagon DockMazagon Dock IPO Preview: A Monopoly Submarine Yard in India with Captive Navy Spending
Mrs. BectorMrs. Bectors Food Specialities Pre-IPO Quick Take - Sales for Its Main Segment Have Been Sta

Lodha

Lodha Developers Pre-IPO - Second Time Lucky but Not Really that Much Affordable
LodhaLodha Developers IPO: Large Presence in Affordable Segment Saves Lodha the Blushes in a Sluggish Mkt
IndiaMartIndiaMART Pre-IPO - Getting and Retaining Subscribers Seems to Be Difficult
PolycabPolycab India Limited Pre-IPO - Market Leader with Steady Growth but with a Few Unanswered Question
The U.S.
TigerUp Fintech (Tiger Brokers) Pre-IPO Quick Note - Much Too Reliant on IBKR
Malaysia
QSRQSR Brands Pre-IPO - As Healthy as Fast Food
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